|

Gold drops to session lows near $1263 ahead of US data

Gold finally broke out of its consolidative trading range and retreated after refreshing fresh four week high level near $1270 region.

The latest comments by Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, foreseeing two more rate-hikes in 2017 provided some fresh boost to the US Dollar's modest up-move and was seen weighing on dollar-denominated commodities - like gold. 

   •  Fed's Kaplan expects two more rate hikes in 2017 - CNBC

Adding to this, easing concerns over the Greek bailout talks, after clarification by the Greece Finance Minister Euclid Tsakalotos, further dented demand for traditional safe-haven assets and collaborated to the precious metal's downslide to fresh session lows near $1263 region.

Despite of the mildly weaker tone, the yellow metal is more likely to find some fresh buying interest amid political uncertainty in the UK, ahead of the general election on June 8, and escalating geopolitical tension in the Korean peninsula, especially after N. Korea warned of conducting more missile tests in the coming days.

Next on tap would be the US economic docket, featuring the release of Core PCE Price Index, Personal Income / Spending data and CB Consumer Confidence Index, which is likely to influence Fed rate-hike expectations and eventually provide some fresh impetus for the non-yielding metal.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near $1260 level, which if broken is likely to accelerate the slide back towards $1254-53 horizontal support en-route $1250-45 important support.

Meanwhile on the upside, $1270 level now seems to have emerged as immediate strong hurdle, above which the commodity is likely to dart towards $1275-76 intermediate resistance ahead of its next major hurdle near $1284 level.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.