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Gold could drop below $1,800 by the end of 2021 – Morgan Stanley

  • Gold could drop to sub-$1,800 levels this year, according to Morgan Stanley. 
  • Weak inflation and global economic recovery could weaken demand for the yellow metal.

Analysts at the investment banking giant Morgan Stanley foresee gold falling below $1,800 per ounce by the end of 2021 as the rise in inflation is likely to be tepid at best. 

"Morgan Stanley's economists forecast the US inflation to rise a little over 2% over the next two years. So this is hardly the runaway type of scenario for inflation that gold would seem best suited for," Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist for Morgan Stanley, said in a recent report, according to Kitco News. 

Sheets added that gold's momentum looks weak, and signs of global economic recovery could complicate matters further for the safe-haven yellow metal. 

Morgan Stanley sees the US economy growing 6.5% this year, followed by 5% growth in 2022.

Gold is currently trading near $1,826 per ounce at press time, representing a nearly 4% year-to-date decline. Prices reached a record high of $2,075 in August 2020.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1826.08
Today Daily Change8.18
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open1817.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA201838.65
Daily SMA501858.33
Daily SMA1001868.69
Daily SMA2001857.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1827.11
Previous Daily Low1816.16
Previous Weekly High1855.5
Previous Weekly Low1807.86
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1820.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1822.93
Daily Pivot Point S11813.67
Daily Pivot Point S21809.44
Daily Pivot Point S31802.72
Daily Pivot Point R11824.62
Daily Pivot Point R21831.34
Daily Pivot Point R31835.57

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
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