|

Gold - $1300 is so close yet so far

Gold [XAU/USD] remains bid in Asia above $1290 amid risk-off in the markets and due to the debt ceiling uncertainty in the US. 

Currently, the yellow metal trades around $1294/Oz levels. Prices fell to $1276 on Friday, the lowest level since August 16, before ending the week on a positive note at $1291.13. 

Multiple Intraday highs above $1290

The metal first jumped above $1290 on August 11 and since then has posted multiple Intraday highs above the same. On August 18, the metal clocked a high of $1300 only to end the day on a weaker note at $1284.38 levels. 

On the daily chart, we see steady higher lows; however, spikes above $1290 have been short lived. Thus, it feels like $1300 is so close yet so far. 

US debt ceiling could yield rally above $1300

Trump’s inability to get things done on the debt ceiling front by mid-October could lead to US government shutdown and send shockwaves across the globe. The resulting risk aversion could easily yield strong rally above $1300 levels. 

Gold Technical Levels

A break above $1296 [June high] would expose $1300. Multiple daily closes above the same could yield a sustained rally to $1337 [Nov 2016 high]. On the downside, breach of support at $1291 [5-DMA] would open doors for a pull back to $1288 [10-DMA] and $1285 [1-hour 200-MA]. 

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBullishOverbought Expanding
1HSlightly BullishOverbought Shrinking
4HBullishNeutral Expanding
1DBearishNeutral Low
1WBullishOverbought Low

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to multi-day peaks below 1.3500

GBP/USD trades with marked gains on Friday, now giving away some gains following an earlier surpass of the key 1.3500 yardstick. Indeed, Cable gathers fresh steam amid the strong offered stance in the Greenback, all after US NFP badly missed expectations in July.

EUR/USD: Post-NFP bounce falters around 1.1580

EUR/USD reverses Thursday’s decline and trades with solid gains in the 1.1560 region, or two-month peaks, on Friday. The pair’s firm performance comes in a context of a sharp correction in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess disheartening US NFP readings.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP nears critical $1.00 support
Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.
Is Gold about to enter its biggest bull run since 2020?
Gold has stormed back into the spotlight and its next move could leave late buyers chasing. On August 5, the yellow metal surged almost 7% – roughly $174 – to close near $4,308 an ounce, posting one of its biggest daily advances in recent history. A weaker U.S dollar, falling Treasury yields, changing Federal Reserve expectations and renewed safe-haven demand all struck at once.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.