|

GBP/USD reverses the post-NFP dip and bounces to 1.2600 area, just below one-year top

  • GBP/USD pulls back from a nearly one-year high amid a goodish pickup in the USD demand.
  • The upbeat US jobs data pushes the US bond yields higher and provides a boost to the buck.
  • The risk-on impulse caps gains for the USD and limits any meaningful downfall for the major.
  • Traders also seem reluctant ahead of next week’s US CPI report and the BoE policy meeting.

The GBP/USD pair drops to a fresh daily low in reaction to the better-than-expected US monthly employment details, albeit manages to find some support ahead of the mid-1.2500s. Spot prices bounce back to the 1.2585-1.2590 region during the early North American session and trade with a mild positive bias for the third straight day, just below a nearly one-year high touched earlier today.

The US Dollar (USD) strengthens across the board following the release of the upbeat US NFP report, which turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the US economy added 253K new jobs in April, much higher than the 179K anticipated and the previous month's downward revised reading of 165K. Further details revealed that the Unemployment Rate unexpectedly edged lower to 3.4% from 3.5 and Average Hourly Earnings rose to 4.4% from 4.3%.

The upbeat data, meanwhile, points to sustained labor market strength and could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates higher for some time. This, in turn, pushes the US Treasury bond yields sharply higher, which underpins the Greenback and exerts some pressure on the GBP/USD pair. That said, the risk-on impulse - as depicted by a strong opening in the US equity markets - keeps a lid on the safe-haven buck. Apart from this, rising bets for a 25 bps rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) help limit the downside for the major.

Hence, the market focus will remain glued to the highly-anticipated BoE monetary policy meeting next Thursday. Heading into the key central bank event risk, investors will take cues from the latest US consumer inflation figures on Wednesday. This will play a key role in determining the near-term trajectory for the GBP/USD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register gains for the third straight week.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2581
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open1.2574
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2465
Daily SMA501.2288
Daily SMA1001.2221
Daily SMA2001.1948
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2599
Previous Daily Low1.2548
Previous Weekly High1.2584
Previous Weekly Low1.2387
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2579
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2568
Daily Pivot Point S11.2548
Daily Pivot Point S21.2523
Daily Pivot Point S31.2498
Daily Pivot Point R11.2599
Daily Pivot Point R21.2624
Daily Pivot Point R31.2649

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).