GBP/USD reclaims 1.2100 amid modest USD weakness, upside potential seems limited

GBP/USD regains positive traction and snaps a two-day losing streak to the weekly low.
A modest recovery in the risk sentiment undermines the USD and extends some support.
Fed-BoE policy divergence to cap gains amid fears of a full-blown global banking crisis.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair attracts fresh buyers near the 1.2040-1.2035 region on Thursday and recovers further from the weekly low, around the 1.2000 psychological mark touched the previous day. Spot prices climb beyond the 1.2100 mark, or a fresh daily top during the early part of the European session and, for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak.

A generally positive tone around the equity markets prompts some selling around the safe-haven US Dollar and turns out to be a key factor pushing the GBP/USD pair higher. The slight improvement in the global risk sentiment comes after the troubled Swiss bank - Credit Suisse - announced that it will exercise an option to borrow up to $54 billion from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to shore up liquidity. Furthermore, Saudi National Bank's Chairman, Ammar Al Khudairy, reportedly said that panic surrounding Credit Suisse is unwarranted and that regulators are ready to plug holes when they appear.

The muted market reaction, however, suggests that investors remain worried about a broader systemic crisis, especially after last week's collapse of two mid-size US banks - Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. This might keep a lid on any optimism, which, along with the prospects for further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve, should act as a tailwind for the Greenback and cap gains for the GBP/USD pair. The US CPI report released on Tuesday indicated that inflation isn't coming down quite as fast as hoped and revived bets for at least a 25 bps Fed rate hike move at the March policy meeting.

In contrast, the markets are now pricing in a 50% chance that the Bank of England (BoE) will pause its rate-hiking cycle next week amid fresh turmoil in the European banking sector. This, in turn, warrants caution before placing aggressive bullish bets around the GBP/USD pair and positioning for a further intraday appreciating move. Traders now look to the US economic docket, featuring the usual Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Building Permits and Housing Starts. Apart from this, the ECB-inspired volatility could provide some impetus to the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2109
Today Daily Change	0.0052
Today Daily Change %	0.43
Today daily open	1.2057

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2016
Daily SMA50	1.2135
Daily SMA100	1.2038
Daily SMA200	1.1894

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2182
Previous Daily Low	1.201
Previous Weekly High	1.2114
Previous Weekly Low	1.1803
Previous Monthly High	1.2402
Previous Monthly Low	1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2076
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2116
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.1985
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.1912
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.1813
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2156
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2255
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2327

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

EUR/USD weakens to four-week lows near 1.1750

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, approaching the area of multi-week troughs in the mid-1.1700s on Thursday. The pair’s intense decline comes on the back of another day of solid gains in the US Dollar, particulalry exacerbated following firm prints from the weekly US labour market.

GBP/USD drops further, hovers around 1.3460

In line with the rest of its risk-linked peers, GBP/USD faces increasing selling pressure and recedes toward the 1.3460 region, or four-week lows, on Thursday. Cable’s persistent pullback comes in response to the continuation of the recovery in the Greenback amid a solid US data and a divided FOMC when it comes to the Fed’s rate path.

Gold clings to daily gains near $5,000

Gold struggles for direction and clings to its daily gains around the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal sticks to the bid bias amid reignited geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and despite marked gains in the US Dollar and rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Ripple slips toward $1.40 despite SG-FORGE tapping protocol for EUR CoinVertible

XRP extends its decline, nearing $1.40 support, as risk appetite fades in the broader market. SG-FORGE’s EUR CoinVertible launches on the XRP Ledger, leveraging the blockchain’s scalability, speed, security, and decentralization.

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments.