GBP/USD rebounds from multi-month low on softer USD, lacks follow-through beyond 1.2400

GBP/USD gains some positive traction on Monday and moves away from over a three-month low.
A positive risk tone is seen undermining the safe-haven USD and lending some support to the pair.
Diminishing odds for more aggressive BoE rate hikes might keep a lid on further gains for the GBP.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair attracts some buying on the first day of a new week and reverses a part of Friday's slide to the 1.2380-1.2375 area, or its lowest level since June. Spot prices currently trade around the 12400 round figure and draw some support from a softer US Dollar (USD), though any meaningful appreciating move still seems elusive.

A generally positive tone around the US equity future fails to assist the safe-haven Greenback to capitalize on its longest weekly winning streak since 2014. The USD downtick could further be attributed to some repositioning trade ahead of this week's key central bank event risk – the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting starting on Tuesday. The Fed is scheduled to announce its decision on Wednesday and is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged.

The markets, however, are still pricing in the possibility of one more 25 bps lift-off in November or December. Hence, the market focus will be on the accompanying policy statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at the post-meeting press conference. Investors will look for fresh cues about the Fed's future rate-hike path, which, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the near-term USD price dynamics and help investors determine the next leg of a directional move for the GBP/USD pair.

In the meantime, diminishing odds for a more aggressive policy tightening by the Bank of England (BoE) might hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). In fact, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey had told lawmakers that the central bank is now "much nearer" to ending its run of interest rate increases. This, along with reviving recession fears and signs that the UK labour market is cooling, might put pressure on the BoE to pause its rate-hiking cycle.

In the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases on Monday, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop warrants some caution positioning for any further recovery. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before confirming that the GBP/USD pair has formed a near-term bottom.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2397
Today Daily Change	0.0014
Today Daily Change %	0.11
Today daily open	1.2383

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2577
Daily SMA50	1.2733
Daily SMA100	1.2654
Daily SMA200	1.2433

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2446
Previous Daily Low	1.2379
Previous Weekly High	1.2548
Previous Weekly Low	1.2379
Previous Monthly High	1.2841
Previous Monthly Low	1.2548
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2405
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.242
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2359
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2336
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2292
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2426
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.247
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2494

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

GBP/USD remains offered; bears target 1.3600

GBP/USD now leaves behind part of its recent recovery and revisits the low 1.3600s at the beginning of the week. Indeed, Cable trades with a mild downward bias amid decent gains in the Greenback as investors remain wary of upcoming US data releases and the Jackson Hole event.

EUR/USD slips back to 1.1660, daily lows

EUR/USD remains slightly offered and drops toward the 1.1660 zone to hit daily troughs on Monday. The pair’s decline follows a decent advance in the US Dollar while investors continue to closely follow developments from the US money market.

Gold poised to extend its bullish run

Gold surrenders part of its initial advance, although it keeps its bullish pace well and sound above the $4,600 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The precious metal’s move higher comes despite slight gains in the US Dollar and a modest pullback in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Here's what I learned trading meme coins

I’ve been trading cryptocurrencies for the past seven years, with meme coins becoming one of the most exciting and implacable parts of my experience. I love them because they represent internet culture and community sentiment, and, let’s be honest, extreme speculation. Newly launched meme coins were especially tempting: get in early enough, I thought, and a small bet could turn into a huge return.

Bessent’s presser in focus

Preview: Busy week ahead, with Bessent kicking this off today, with things wrapping up with Warsh at Jackson Hole. For a month that should have been a temporary period of ‘quiet’, we had anything but last week, with the bond market and tariffs front and centre.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.