|

GBP/USD prolongs its agony and breaks below 1.2600 amid weak US ADP data

  • GBP/USD sees three-day decline, dropping below 1.2700, shedding over 1% during the week.
  • US data reveals disappointing ADP Employment Change and widening trade deficit, pressuring GBP/USD.
  • Despite weak indicators, US Dollar Index rises 0.22% to 104.19, while BoE Governor Bailey signals potential UK rate cuts amid financial pressures.

GBP/USD trips down and extended its losses to three consecutive days; after diving below the 1.2700 figure, the Pound Sterling (GBP) had shed more than 1% of its value, during the week. At the time of writing, the major is trading at 1.2555, down 0.28% after hitting a daily high of 1.2613.

Pound Sterling faces headwinds amid higher interest rates set by the BoE

Investors' sentiment remains depressed as portrayed by Wall Street. The November ADP Employment Change report revealed private hiring increased by 103K, falling short of the forecasted 130K and the previous month's 106K. later, the US Commerce Department, showed October's US trade deficit widened more than anticipated, reaching $-64.3 billion, exceeding the forecast of $-64.2 billion and trailing September's $-61.2 billion.

Despite this weak data, the US Dollar Index (DXY), tracking the dollar against six other currencies, is up 0.22% at 104.19, while US Treasury bond yields fall.

Across the Atlantic, the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey stressed that UK banks are well positioned to support borrowers, after the BoE released its Financial Stability Report (FSR). Bailey acknowledged that businesses are pressured by higher rates, while households finances remain stretched. Even though BoE’s members had remained hawkish, expectation for rate cuts had begun to gain some steam, with market participants expecting three 25 bps rate cuts by the end of 2024.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart portrays the pair's failure to decisively break the 1.2700 resistance level, exacerbating the GBP/USD’s fall toward current exchange rates. Therefore, sellers are in charge, and if they break support below 1.2550, that could pave the way toward the 12500 mark. Further downside is expected at the 200-day moving          average (DMA) At 1.2478.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2556
Today Daily Change-0.0038
Today Daily Change %-0.30
Today daily open1.2594
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2502
Daily SMA501.2315
Daily SMA1001.2473
Daily SMA2001.2477
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2652
Previous Daily Low1.2578
Previous Weekly High1.2733
Previous Weekly Low1.2591
Previous Monthly High1.2733
Previous Monthly Low1.2096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2606
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2624
Daily Pivot Point S11.2563
Daily Pivot Point S21.2533
Daily Pivot Point S31.2489
Daily Pivot Point R11.2638
Daily Pivot Point R21.2683
Daily Pivot Point R31.2713

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.