|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Further upside hinges on 1.2550 breakout and US NFP

  • GBP/USD clings to mild gains at the highest levels in two weeks.
  • 2.5-month-old horizontal resistance, overbought RSI line challenges Cable byers.
  • 200-SMA, bullish MACD signals put a floor under Pound Sterling price.
  • US NFP becomes more important hawkish Fed bets run out of steam.

GBP/USD bulls seat idle on the driver’s seat as the all-important US NFP looms on Friday. That said, the Cable pair sticks on mild gains around 1.2535 during the six-day uptrend that recently prod the highest levels since May 16.

Also read: GBP/USD: Cable grinds above 1.2500 as BoE vs. Fed play intensifies, US jobs report eyed

It’s worth noting that the Pound Sterling pair’s successful upside break of the 200-SMA, at 1.2475 by the press time, keeps the buyers hopeful.

However, a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since April 14 constitutes the 1.2540-50 resistance zone, which in turn challenges the immediate GBP/USD upside amid the overbought RSI (14) line.

Hence, the Cable pair’s further upside hinges on its ability to cross the 1.2550 hurdle, backed by the downbeat US employment report for May.

The same will allow the GBP/USD bulls to pierce late April highs of around 1.2585 in search of refreshing the yearly high, currently around 1.2680.

On the flip side, a sustained break of the 200-SMA level of 1.2475 could recall the short-term Cable bears who can aim for the latest trough surrounding 1.2310 in a case where the US NFP offers a positive surprise.

In a case where the GBP/USD remains bearish past 1.2310, multiple hurdles around 1.2300 and 1.2270 can challenge the sellers.

GBP/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2536
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open1.2524
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2472
Daily SMA501.2449
Daily SMA1001.2298
Daily SMA2001.1991
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.254
Previous Daily Low1.2401
Previous Weekly High1.2472
Previous Weekly Low1.2308
Previous Monthly High1.268
Previous Monthly Low1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2487
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2454
Daily Pivot Point S11.2437
Daily Pivot Point S21.235
Daily Pivot Point S31.2298
Daily Pivot Point R11.2575
Daily Pivot Point R21.2627
Daily Pivot Point R31.2714

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).