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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Climbs back above 1.2700 on US holiday

  • GBP/USD tests key-support trendline turned resistance at around 1.2730.
  • Technical outlook shows momentum favoring buyers, but unable to sustain gains above 1.2800.
  • Key resistance at 1.2739 and 1.2800, with support levels at 1.2700, 1.2643, and 1.2617.

The Pound Sterling modestly gains versus the Greenback on Wednesday, amid thin liquidity conditions, due to US traders being in observance of Juneteenth. Therefore, with US markets being closed, the GBP/USD could remain subdued, and trade at 1.2729 at the time of writing.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After hitting a three-month high at 1.2860, the GBP/SD dropped more than 100 pips and cleared a support trendline drawn from lows of May 17 that passes at around 1.2730.

Although momentum favors buyers with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above the 50-neutral line, the major has failed to sustain the uptrend above 1.2800.

Risk events, like the latest inflation report, could not lift the GBP/USD close to 1.2800. That, along with Thursday’s Bank of England decision, will keep the pair trading volatile in the upcoming days.

Key resistance levels lie at 1.2739, the current week’s high, followed by 1.2800. Once cleared, the next stop would be the monthly high of 1.2860.

Conversely, if GBP/USD stumbles past 1.2700, that will expose the confluence of technical indicators, like the May 3 high turned support and the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2643/39, ahead of the 50-DMA at 1.2617. Further losses lie once cleared, like the 1.2600 figure and the 200-DMA at 1.2550.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.273
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open1.2709
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2743
Daily SMA501.2614
Daily SMA1001.264
Daily SMA2001.2553
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2721
Previous Daily Low1.2669
Previous Weekly High1.286
Previous Weekly Low1.2657
Previous Monthly High1.2801
Previous Monthly Low1.2446
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2701
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2689
Daily Pivot Point S11.2679
Daily Pivot Point S21.2648
Daily Pivot Point S31.2627
Daily Pivot Point R11.273
Daily Pivot Point R21.2752
Daily Pivot Point R31.2782

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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