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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bears attack adjacent support near 1.2300, UK Retail Sales eyed

  • GBP/USD stays bearish at the lowest levels in seven weeks, down for the fourth consecutive day.
  • UK Retail Sales growth is expected to improve in April, suggesting hardships for Cable bears amid nearly oversold RSI.
  • Two-week-old falling support line, 100-DMA restrict immediate downside of the Pound Sterling.
  • Recovery remains elusive below 50-DMA, 1.2370 can tame corrective bounce.

GBP/USD remains on the back foot at a two-month bottom as sellers prod a short-term support line ahead of the key UK Retail Sales data on early Friday. In doing so, the Pound Sterling struggles to extend the three-day losing streak around 1.2320-15 by the press time.

That said, the UK Retail Sales for April, expected 0.3% MoM versus -0.9% prior, can join the aforementioned two-week-old support line and nearly oversold RSI (14) line to challenge the Cable pair sellers.

However, a downward-sloping resistance line from May 10, close to 1.2370 at the latest, could challenge the GBP/USD pair’s further recovery.

Even if the Cable pair remains firmer past 1.2370, the 50-DMA hurdle of around 1.2435 may act as the last defense of the bears before giving control to the bulls.

On the flip side, a clear break of the immediate support line near 1.2300 could aim for the 100-DMA support of 1.2285.

Following that, a horizontal area comprising levels marked since March 13 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its March-May upside, respectively around 1.2190-85 and 1.2140 in that order, could challenge the GBP/USD bears.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2323
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02%
Today daily open1.2321
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2501
Daily SMA501.2432
Daily SMA1001.2285
Daily SMA2001.1976
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2387
Previous Daily Low1.2308
Previous Weekly High1.2547
Previous Weekly Low1.2392
Previous Monthly High1.2584
Previous Monthly Low1.2275
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2338
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2357
Daily Pivot Point S11.229
Daily Pivot Point S21.226
Daily Pivot Point S31.2211
Daily Pivot Point R11.237
Daily Pivot Point R21.2418
Daily Pivot Point R31.2449

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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