|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: 200DMA still remains in sight on Black Friday

  • GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2100 as the US Dollar stalls decline.
  • Mixed sentiment amid dovish Fed and China’s covid woes cap GBP/USD”s upside.
  • 200DMA at 1.2185 remains a tough nut to crack for GBP/USD bulls.

GBP/USD is easing from three-month highs of 1.2153, as bulls take a breather on Black Friday. Amid extended holiday-thinned market conditions, the US Dollar has stalled its decline, as end-of-the-week repositioning seems to be in play.

The Fed November meeting Minutes showed that most board members saw a slower pace of higher appropriate ‘soon’. The dovish pivot in the Fed’s tightening outlook triggered a fresh sell-off in the US Treasury yields, which knocked down the US Dollar across the board.

So far this Black Friday’s trading, the Cable remains at the mercy of the market sentiment, with China’s covid curbs keeping investors on the edge. A partial holiday in the US will leave GBP/USD traders mostly on the sidelines, as the focus shifts toward next week’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release.

Nothing seems to have changed technically for GBP/USD, as sellers continue to lurk above the 1.2150 region. Buyers await a sustained break above the bearish 200-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 1.2185 should the previous day’s high at 1.2153 give way. The next relevant upside barrier is seen at 1.2200, the round number.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned flat while above the midline, backing the range trade in the pair, at the moment.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, the 1.2050 support area needs to be broken decisively to trigger a corrective decline. The 1.2000 psychological barrier could then come to the rescue of bulls.

The line in the sand for GBP/USD buyers is seen at around 1.1700, where the 21 and 100DMAs hang around.

GBP/USD: Additional technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2108
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.212
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1682
Daily SMA501.1404
Daily SMA1001.1644
Daily SMA2001.2192
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2154
Previous Daily Low1.2048
Previous Weekly High1.2029
Previous Weekly Low1.171
Previous Monthly High1.1646
Previous Monthly Low1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2113
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2088
Daily Pivot Point S11.206
Daily Pivot Point S21.2001
Daily Pivot Point S31.1954
Daily Pivot Point R11.2166
Daily Pivot Point R21.2213
Daily Pivot Point R31.2272

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to humble gains around 1.1780

EUR/USD manages to reverse Tuesday’s pullback, sticking to daily gains around 1.1780 following an earlier bull run past 1.1800 the figure. The pair’s slight advance comes on the back of the equally marginal uptick in the US Dollar, as investors continue to closely follow developments on the trade front and news from the White House.

GBP/USD flirts with weekly tops north of 1.3500

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a marginal advance in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-associated universe. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants.

Gold picks up pace, focus on $5,200

Gold buyers are stepping back in on Wednesday, with sights set on $5,200 and potentially higher, after Tuesday’s pullback from monthly highs. The yellow metal’s recovery follows some loss of momentum in the US Dollar after Trump’s SOTU speech failed to deliver fresh impetus and AI-related jitters continue to fade.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom, with Q4 revenue projected near $65.6–66.1 billion, nearly 70% higher year-over-year. But investors are watching cash flow, leverage, and broader AI adoption. Growth is strong, but the AI stress isn’t over.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.