|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: 200DMA still remains in sight on Black Friday

  • GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2100 as the US Dollar stalls decline.
  • Mixed sentiment amid dovish Fed and China’s covid woes cap GBP/USD”s upside.
  • 200DMA at 1.2185 remains a tough nut to crack for GBP/USD bulls.

GBP/USD is easing from three-month highs of 1.2153, as bulls take a breather on Black Friday. Amid extended holiday-thinned market conditions, the US Dollar has stalled its decline, as end-of-the-week repositioning seems to be in play.

The Fed November meeting Minutes showed that most board members saw a slower pace of higher appropriate ‘soon’. The dovish pivot in the Fed’s tightening outlook triggered a fresh sell-off in the US Treasury yields, which knocked down the US Dollar across the board.

So far this Black Friday’s trading, the Cable remains at the mercy of the market sentiment, with China’s covid curbs keeping investors on the edge. A partial holiday in the US will leave GBP/USD traders mostly on the sidelines, as the focus shifts toward next week’s US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release.

Nothing seems to have changed technically for GBP/USD, as sellers continue to lurk above the 1.2150 region. Buyers await a sustained break above the bearish 200-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 1.2185 should the previous day’s high at 1.2153 give way. The next relevant upside barrier is seen at 1.2200, the round number.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned flat while above the midline, backing the range trade in the pair, at the moment.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, the 1.2050 support area needs to be broken decisively to trigger a corrective decline. The 1.2000 psychological barrier could then come to the rescue of bulls.

The line in the sand for GBP/USD buyers is seen at around 1.1700, where the 21 and 100DMAs hang around.

GBP/USD: Additional technical levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2108
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.212
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1682
Daily SMA501.1404
Daily SMA1001.1644
Daily SMA2001.2192
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2154
Previous Daily Low1.2048
Previous Weekly High1.2029
Previous Weekly Low1.171
Previous Monthly High1.1646
Previous Monthly Low1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2113
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2088
Daily Pivot Point S11.206
Daily Pivot Point S21.2001
Daily Pivot Point S31.1954
Daily Pivot Point R11.2166
Daily Pivot Point R21.2213
Daily Pivot Point R31.2272

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.1700 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under mild bearish pressure and trades below 1.1750 on Friday. Although trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, the modest recovery seen in the US Dollar causes the pair to edge lower. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes near 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold advances toward $4,400 and gains more than 1.5% on the day after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking heading into the end of the year. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).