|

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2600, bulls seem non-committed despite softer USD

  • GBP/USD lacks any firm intraday direction and oscillates in a narrow trading band on Friday.
  • The Fed rate cut uncertainty and a positive risk tone undermine the USD, lending support.
  • The prospects of BoE rate interest rate cuts in 2024 act as a headwind for the British Pound.

The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish bounce of around 50 pips from the 1.2570 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade near the top end of the weekly range, around the 1.2620 area, and draw support from a modest US Dollar (USD) downtick.

The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, extends its sideways consolidative price move as traders seek more clarity about the timing and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Apart from this, the underlying bullish tone across the global equity markets further undermines the safe-haven Greenback and acts as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair, though the lack of follow-through buying warrants caution before positioning for further gains.

The rising prospect of the Bank of England (BoE) reducing interest rates in 2024 is holding back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the British Pound (GBP). In fact, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey noted last week that things are heading in the right direction and that the current level of bank interest rate remains appropriate. Adding to this, BoE's chief economist Huw Pill said earlier this week that the interest rate could drop this year as a reward to the economy for bringing down inflation.

Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of next week's important macro releases, starting with the UK jobs data and the latest US consumer inflation figures on Tuesday. This will be followed by the UK CPI, the prelim fourth quarter GDP print and monthly Retail Sales figures on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday respectively. Nevertheless, the mixed fundamental backdrop makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before placing fresh bullish bets.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.262
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open1.2619
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2678
Daily SMA501.2677
Daily SMA1001.2483
Daily SMA2001.2565
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2639
Previous Daily Low1.2572
Previous Weekly High1.2773
Previous Weekly Low1.2614
Previous Monthly High1.2786
Previous Monthly Low1.2597
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2598
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2613
Daily Pivot Point S11.2581
Daily Pivot Point S21.2543
Daily Pivot Point S31.2514
Daily Pivot Point R11.2648
Daily Pivot Point R21.2677
Daily Pivot Point R31.2715

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 amid light trading

AUD/USD fills a modest bearish gap on Monday, but remains below 0.7000 in the Asian session amid holiday-thinned liquidity. The US Dollar attempts a bounce even as US bond yields pull back from multi-year highs, limiting the pair. Moreover, diminishing odds of another RBA rate hike in November cap the Aussie.

USD/JPY hovers above 158.00 amid Japan/ US holiday

USD/JPY extends its range-bound price action into a new week, trading above 158.00 as bulls remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot and cap the pair's upside. However, geopolitical uncertainties could limit losses for the safe-haven buck amid thin liquidity due to a holiday in Japan and the US.

Gold sticks to modest losses; seems vulnerable below $4,200 on Fed hike bets

Gold extends its intraday retracement slide from a one-week high, hitting a fresh daily low around $4,170 during the early European session. The US Dollar attracts fresh buyers after a modest downtick amid the US Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook, which, in turn, is seen as weighing on the non-yielding bullion.

Bitcoin struggles as ETF outflows, geopolitical uncertainty weigh

Bitcoin hovers around $83,600 on Monday after a 3.1% correction last week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded an outflow of $681.10 million last week, snapping the three-week inflow streak. Geopolitical uncertainty and mixed signals keep investors cautious.

The week ahead: A critical week as earnings and CPI test market

The Oil price is relatively stable this morning, and US and European stock markets are poised to open higher, as risk sentiment shrugs off an escalation in the Middle East and concerns about rising bond yields.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?