|

GBP/USD faces downward pressure due to UK fiscal concerns

  • GBP/USD dips by 0.49% despite inactive US markets, influenced by record high UK bond yields and fiscal worries.
  • US labor market shows resilience with a significant decrease in layoffs, according to the Challenger Jobs Report.
  • Fed officials signal cautious stance on rate cuts, with future decisions hinged on upcoming economic data.

The Pound Sterling depreciated against the Greenback on Thursday, even though the financial markets remained closed due to former US President Jimmy Carter's funeral. The GBP(SD traded volatile during the session and exchanged hands at 1.2300, down by 0.49%.

UK Gilt yields rose to its highest level since 1998, Cable tumbles

Cable remains battered after UK bond yields rose to their highest level in 16 years as confidence in Britain’s fiscal outlook deteriorated. The 10-year Gilt yield soared to 4.925%, before ending at around 4.795%.

Usually, a higher yield in the UK would boost the Sterling, nevertheless, once the relationship has broken, reflects investors worries about the country's finances. The yield in the 30-year Gilt soared above 5.3%, its highest since 1998.

In the US, the US Challenger Jobs report for December revealed that employers lay off 38,792 fewer people than in November’s 57,727. Hence, the US labor market continues to fare better than expected.

In the meantime, Federal Reserve speakers crossed the wires. Boston Fed Susan Collins said she favors fewer cuts than before and added she’s less concerned about the labor market. Meanwhile, Philadelphia Fed Patrick Harker said the US central bank is still on the rate-cut path, and future movements would be data-dependent.

The British economic docket will remain absent this week. Across the pond, US Nonfarm Payrolls figures for December are foreseen at 160K, down from 227K. Furthermore, the University of Michigan will reveal the US Consumer Sentiment for the same period.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD has carved a successive series of lower highs and lower lows, an indication that the downtrend remains intact. Earlier, the pair dipped to a 13-month low of 1.2237 but bounced off that level to around the 1.2290 area. A daily close below 1.2300 will exacerbate further downside, with the following key support at 1.2200.

Conversely, if bulls step in and push the exchange rate above 1.2351, a recovery toward 1.2350 and 1.2400 is seen.

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.18%0.50%-0.27%0.10%0.35%0.26%0.08%
EUR-0.18% 0.31%-0.42%-0.08%0.17%0.08%-0.10%
GBP-0.50%-0.31% -0.76%-0.41%-0.15%-0.23%-0.38%
JPY0.27%0.42%0.76% 0.33%0.61%0.48%0.36%
CAD-0.10%0.08%0.41%-0.33% 0.26%0.16%0.01%
AUD-0.35%-0.17%0.15%-0.61%-0.26% -0.09%-0.24%
NZD-0.26%-0.08%0.23%-0.48%-0.16%0.09% -0.15%
CHF-0.08%0.10%0.38%-0.36%-0.01%0.24%0.15% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Week ahead: US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. Dollar strength might be tested if investors refocus on Fed expectations. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify. Euro weakness persists, lingering risk of deterioration in US-EU relations.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.