GBP/USD eases from daily peak, still well bid above 1.2400 amid broad-based USD weakness

GBP/USD gains strong positive traction on Tuesday and snaps a four-day losing streak.
A positive risk tone prompts some selling around the safe-haven USD and lends support.
Bets for more Fed rate hikes should help limit the USD losses and cap any further gains.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

The GBP/USD pair catches fresh bids on Tuesday and snaps a four-day losing streak to over a one-week low, around the 1.2345 region touched the previous day. The pair sticks to its strong intraday gains heading into the North American session and trades around the 1.2435-1.2440 area, just a few pips below the daily high.

The US Dollar (USD) meets with some supply and stalls a four-day-old recovery trend from over a two-month low touched last week, which, in turn, is seen pushing the GBP/USD pair higher. A generally positive tone around the equity markets is seen as a key factor undermining the Greenback's relative safe-haven status, though speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may continue raising interest rates should help limit losses.

. In fact, the current market pricing indicates a greater chance of a 25 bps lift-off at the next FOMC monetary policy meeting in May and the bets were lifted by the mostly upbeat US employment details (NFP) released on Friday. This, for the time being, puts a floor under the US Treasury bond yields, which should further act as a tailwind for the buck and keep a lid on any further gains for the GBP/USD pair, at least for time being.

Furthermore, the recent mixed signals from the Bank of England (BoE) members over the next policy move might also hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the British Pound. Investors might prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of this week's release of the latest US consumer inflation figures and the FOMC meeting minutes, both scheduled on Wednesday, followed by the US Retail Sales data on Friday.

In the absence of any relevant market-moving economic releases on Tuesday, either from the UK or the US, the broader risk sentiment could play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment, which tends to drive the demand for safe-haven assets, including the buck, might allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.2436
Today Daily Change	0.0054
Today Daily Change %	0.44
Today daily open	1.2382

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.2303
Daily SMA50	1.2156
Daily SMA100	1.2165
Daily SMA200	1.1903

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.2443
Previous Daily Low	1.2344
Previous Weekly High	1.2525
Previous Weekly Low	1.2275
Previous Monthly High	1.2424
Previous Monthly Low	1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.2382
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.2405
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.2337
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.2291
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.2238
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.2435
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.2488
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.2533

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.