|

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.2100 mark, just below multi-month high set on Thursday

  • GBP/USD is seen oscillating in a narrow trading band on the last day of the week.
  • The less hawkish FOMC minutes continue to weigh on the USD and offer support.
  • Relatively thin trading conditions hold back bullish traders from placing fresh bets.

The GBP/USD pair is seen oscillating in a narrow band through the early European session on Friday and consolidating this week's strong move up to the highest level since August 12. The pair is currently placed around the 1.2100 round figure and remains well within the striking distance of a technically significant 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

The US Dollar struggles to gain any meaningful traction and languishes just above the monthly low, which, in turn, continues to act as a tailwind for the GBP/USD pair. A dovish assessment of the FOMC meeting minutes released on Wednesday continues to drag the US Treasury bond yields lower. This, along with a generally positive tone around the equity markets, is seen undermining the safe-haven greenback.

The British Pound, on the other hand, draws support from the recent sharp decline in the UK government bond yields. This represents an easing of financial conditions in the UK, which should allow the Bank of England to continue raising borrowing costs to tame inflation. The combination of the aforementioned fundamental factors supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move for the GBP/USD pair.

That said, a bleak outlook for the UK economy might hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets amid a bleak outlook for the UK economy. It is worth recalling that the UK Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) projected the UK GDP to slump by 1.4% next year as compared to a growth of 1.8% forecast in March. This, in turn, might cap gains for the GBP/USD pair amid lighter trading volumes.

Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register gains for the third successive week in the absence of relevant market-moving economic releases, either from the UK. The market focus now shifts to next week's important US macro data - the Prelim Q3 GDP report, Core PCE Price Index (the Fed's preferred inflation gauge) and the closely watched monthly employment details, popularly known as NFP.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2093
Today Daily Change-0.0027
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open1.212
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1682
Daily SMA501.1404
Daily SMA1001.1644
Daily SMA2001.2192
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2154
Previous Daily Low1.2048
Previous Weekly High1.2029
Previous Weekly Low1.171
Previous Monthly High1.1646
Previous Monthly Low1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2113
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2088
Daily Pivot Point S11.206
Daily Pivot Point S21.2001
Daily Pivot Point S31.1954
Daily Pivot Point R11.2166
Daily Pivot Point R21.2213
Daily Pivot Point R31.2272

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1800 ahead of US data, Fedspeak

EUR/USD remains trapped in a tight range below 1.1800 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles amid a modest US Dollar strength and an improvement in risk sentiment, even as US tariff uncertainty lingers. The focus now remains on the US data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3500 as USD firms up

GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the US Dollar rebounds from losses recorded over the previous two sessions. Traders will focus on the US weekly ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence data due later in the day, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Gold holds pullback below $5,200 amid USD uptick

Gold holds moderate losses below $5,200 in European trading on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through selling. Following the previous day's knee-jerk fall in reaction to US President Donald Trump's new global tariffs and the subsequent bounce, the US Dollar attracts fresh buyers ahead of mid-tier data and Fedspeak. 

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

AI-scare trade and tariff uncertainty takes hold

It was quite a day, with AI-disruption fears and tariff uncertainty triggering a risk-off session. By now, it's nearly impossible to have missed the Supreme Court's 6-3 decision that struck down US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs last Friday.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.