|

GBP/USD collapses to new 4-week lows at 1.2059 after robust US economic data

  • The Pound Sterling opposes no resistance to upbeat economic data in the United States.
  • US jobs data and services activity showed that the US economy remains solid despite the US Federal Reserve tightening cycle.
  • For the next week, GBP/USD traders are eyeing the UK GDP and US Fed speakers.

GBP/USD nosedives and extended its losses past the 50 and 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on Friday after a surprisingly strong jobs report from the United States (US) that increased speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise rates back above Wednesday’s 25 basis points mark (bps). At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2060 after reaching a daily high of 1.2265.

GBP/USD plunged on positive US economic data, warranting further Fed tightening

Investors’ sentiment turned sour after January’s Nonfarm Payrolls report was released. Data showed that the economy added 517K new jobs against the 200K estimated; consequently, the Unemployment Rate tumbled from 3.5% to 3.4%. Additionally, December’s data was revised upward, which means the US Federal Reserve still has ways to go to curb stubbornly high inflation towards the 2% goal.

As the headline crossed the screens, the GBP/USD dived from around its daily highs at 1.2260s and collapsed 200 pips towards the 1.2060 area. In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the greenback’s value against a basket of six currencies, rose to a new three-week high at 102.90, up 0.94%.

Later, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed that services industry activity climbed above expansionary territory, boosted by new orders, while prices paid moderated. The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI rose by 55.2 last month, vs. 49.2 in December and above the 50.4 foreseen by analysts.

Earlier in the European session, the UK S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI had its worst month in two years, falling to 48.7, down from December’s 49.9, its lowest level since January 2021. Therefore, the S&P Composite PMI, combining manufacturing and services data, slumped to 48.5 in January from 49.0 last month.

What to watch?

Next week’s UK economic calendar will feature the Monetary Policy Report Hearings and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) MoM and QoQ. Across the pond, the US economic docket will feature the US Federal Reserve speakers, namely Jerome Powell and John C. Williams from the New York Fed. Additionally, Initial Jobless Claims and the University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment would shed some light regarding the status of the US economy.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2061
Today Daily Change-0.0177
Today Daily Change %-1.45
Today daily open1.2238
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2291
Daily SMA501.2191
Daily SMA1001.1797
Daily SMA2001.1958
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2402
Previous Daily Low1.2229
Previous Weekly High1.2448
Previous Weekly Low1.2263
Previous Monthly High1.2448
Previous Monthly Low1.1841
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2295
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2336
Daily Pivot Point S11.2178
Daily Pivot Point S21.2117
Daily Pivot Point S31.2005
Daily Pivot Point R11.2351
Daily Pivot Point R21.2463
Daily Pivot Point R31.2524

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.