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GBP/USD builds cushion around 1.1250 as focus shifts to US/UK PMI

  • GBP/USD is holding itself above 1.1250 as the impact of hawkish Fed policy has started fading away.
  • The BOE has pushed its interest rates to 2.25, the highest since 2008.
  • BOE’s denial of an aggressive policy approach seems the weak economic fundamentals.

The GBP/USD pair is displaying a lackluster performance after declining from the critical resistance of 1.1350 in the early Asian session. The cable is oscillating in a narrow range of 1.1250-1.1266 and is expected to continue the volatility contraction pattern ahead of the PMIs data. Earlier, the asset rebounded firmly after sensing a decent buying interest of around 1.1200. The decline move from 1.1350 is a corrective move, which seems to conclude sooner and an upside journey will resume.

The pound bulls displayed wild swings after the announcement of the interest rate decision by the Bank of England (BOE). BOE Governor Andrew Bailey elevated the interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) and pushed the terminal rate to 2.25%. This has been the highest borrowing cost since 2008.

Investors should note that the UK economy is facing the headwinds of soaring price pressures at most and yet they have not adopted an aggressive approach toward monetary policy. The rationale behind moving calm is the poor economic fundamentals, vulnerable labor market conditions, and weak labor market index. The unavailability of support from domestic economic catalysts kept the BOE policymakers to go all in on interest rate elevation unhesitatingly.

Going forward, UK’s S&P Global PMI data will hog the limelight. An improvement in Manufacturing PMI is expected as the economic data is seen at 47.5 vs. the prior release of 47.3. While the Services PMI is expected to scale lower to 50.0 vs. the former figure of 50.9.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is sensing a decline in the buying interest as the impact of extremely hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) policy has started fading away. Now, investors have shifted their focus towards the PMI data, which is expected to display a mixed performance. A preliminary reading shows a soft landing of Manufacturing PMI at 51.1 while Service PMI will improve significantly to 45.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1261
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1.1267
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1548
Daily SMA501.1839
Daily SMA1001.2071
Daily SMA2001.2676
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1385
Previous Daily Low1.1237
Previous Weekly High1.1738
Previous Weekly Low1.1351
Previous Monthly High1.2294
Previous Monthly Low1.1599
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1294
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1328
Daily Pivot Point S11.1208
Daily Pivot Point S21.1149
Daily Pivot Point S31.106
Daily Pivot Point R11.1355
Daily Pivot Point R21.1444
Daily Pivot Point R31.1503

                                                                     

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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