- GBP/USD drops for the fourth consecutive day.
- Downbeat UK data, Brexit/virus fears keep the British Pound heavy.
- US Dollar stays firm amid broad risk-off sentiment.
- US Jobless Claims may extend downward trajectory.
GBP/USD drops to 1.2210, down 0.16% on a day, while heading into the London open on Thursday. The pair recently declined to 1.2204, the lowest since April 07, before bouncing back just to stay near the bottom.
While downbeat UK fundamentals, comprising sluggish data, coronavirus outbreak and Brexit worries, keep the pair heavy, broad US dollar strength seems to top all.
The greenback takes the bids due to its safe-haven demand while also playing with the odds of the Fed’s negative interest rates. The risk-aversion wave has recently gained clues from the second wave of virus spread in major economies as well as the US-China tussle. That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge of the greenback versus major currencies, register 0.07% gains to 100.28 while writing.
On the other hand, Wednesday’s downbeat performance of the UK data dump pushed British Chancellor Rishi Sunak towards saying, "It is now very likely that the UK economy will face a significant recession this year, and we're already in the middle of that as we speak," per the BBC.
However, the BOE Governor Andrew Bailey renewed hopes that the UK’s central bank can help the nation overcome the extra debt piled during the virus crisis and avoid the need for austerity.
Elsewhere, Brexit negotiations continue to flash mixed clues with the latest one from The Guardian suggesting that the government has privately conceded there will be post-Brexit checks on goods crossing the Irish Sea, months after Boris Johnson insisted there would be no such trade barriers.
The US Jobless Claims for the week ended May 08 may help the US dollar to extend its latest run-up if matching 2500K forecast versus 3169K prior. Considering this, TD Securities said, “Google search activity suggests that jobless claims will fall again, with the level still high. We forecast a drop to 2.7mn from 3.2mn last week and as high as 6.9mn in the last week of March. Claims averaged 212k per week in the first 10 weeks of the year.”
Technical analysis
GBP/USD carries its downside break of an ascending trend line from March 24. As a result, sellers remain hopeful to target 1.2130 support comprising March 18 top and March 27 low. Alternatively, the pair’s pullback moves beyond the support-turned-resistance line of 1.2285 will have 10-day EMA and a two-week-old descending trend line, respectively around 1.2330 and 1.2355, as following upside barriers.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD consolidates weekly gains above 1.1150
EUR/USD moves up and down in a narrow channel slightly above 1.1150 on Friday. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases, comments from central bank officials and the risk mood could drive the pair's action heading into the weekend.
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.3300, looks to post strong weekly gains
GBP/USD trades modestly higher on the day near 1.3300, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for August. The pair remains on track to end the week, which featured Fed and BoE policy decisions, with strong gains.
Gold extends rally to new record-high above $2,610
Gold (XAU/USD) preserves its bullish momentum and trades at a new all-time high above $2,610 on Friday. Heightened expectations that global central banks will follow the Fed in easing policy and slashing rates lift XAU/USD.
Week ahead – SNB to cut again, RBA to stand pat, PCE inflation also on tap
SNB is expected to ease for third time; might cut by 50bps. RBA to hold rates but could turn less hawkish as CPI falls. After inaugural Fed cut, attention turns to PCE inflation.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.