|

GBP/JPY remains tepid near 190.50 following key economic figures from United Kingdom

  • GBP/USD remains under pressure as UK GDP shows growth in December but falls short of market expectations.
  • The yield on the UK 10-year Gilt dropped to 4.73%, pulling back from multi-decade highs.
  • The Japanese Yen strengthens as expectations rise for the BoJ to raise interest rates next week.

GBP/JPY continues to lose ground for the second successive day, trading around 190.60 during the early European hours. The GBP/JPY cross loses ground as the Pound Sterling (GBP) faces challenges following the disappointing economic data from the United Kingdom (UK) on Thursday.

The UK economy returned to growth in November, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rising by 0.1%, following a 0.1% contraction in October. However, this fell short of market expectations for a 0.2% expansion.

Meanwhile, the Index of Services for October remained unchanged at 0% 3M/3M, compared to October's 0.1%. In November, Monthly Industrial and Manufacturing Production declined by 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively, with both readings coming in below market expectations.

Additionally, the GBP received downward pressure as the yield on the UK 10-year Gilt fell to 4.73%, retreating from multi-decade highs, after official data showed an unexpected drop in headline UK inflation, increasing expectations of rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE).

The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 2.5% year-over-year in December, down from 2.6% in November and below the market forecast of 2.7%. Despite the slowdown, the figure remained above the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target.

Moreover, the Japanese Yen (JPY) appreciates amid growing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates next week. These speculations have driven yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) to multi-year highs.

Bloomberg reported on Thursday, citing unnamed sources, that the BoJ is likely to raise interest rates next week unless a significant market disruption occurs following the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump.

BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated that the central bank will discuss the possibility of a rate hike next week and may increase the policy rate this year if economic and inflation conditions continue to improve. Key factors influencing the BoJ’s decision include the policy direction of the new US administration and domestic wage negotiations.

Economic Indicator

Gross Domestic Product (MoM)

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by the Office for National Statistics on a monthly and quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in the UK during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of UK economic activity. The MoM reading compares economic activity in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a rise in this indicator is bullish for the Pound Sterling (GBP), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Thu Jan 16, 2025 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 0.1%

Consensus: 0.2%

Previous: -0.1%

Source: Office for National Statistics

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.