|

Forex Today: US Dollar holds steady to start week, eyes on central bank speak

Here is what you need to know on Monday, June 19:

The US Dollar (USD) holds steady early Monday after having suffered large losses against its major rivals last week. Stock and bond markets in the US will be closed in observance of the Juneteenth holiday. The European economic docket will not be featuring any high-impact data releases and market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell more than 1% and closed the third straight week in negative territory before going into a consolidation phase above 102.00 in the European session. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield fluctuated wildly following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy announcements but ended the week little changed below 3.8%. 

On Sunday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang reportedly had "candid and constructive talks" on their differences from Taiwan to trade. Sides are said to have agreed on little beyond keeping the conversation going with an eventual meeting in Washington, reported Reuters.

EUR/USD gained nearly 200 pips last week, boosted by the broad-based USD weakness and the European Central Bank's (ECB) hawkish rhetoric. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane and Governing Council member Isabelle Schnabel will be delivering speeches later in the day.  At the time of press, the pair was seen consolidating last week's gains slightly below 1.0950.

GBP/USD surged to its highest level since April 2022 at 1.2850 last week. The pair stays relatively quiet early Monday, moving up and down in a narrow range slightly above 1.2800. On Wednesday, the UK's Office for National Statistics will release inflation data for May ahead of the Bank of England's (BoE) monetary policy announcements on Thursday.

USD/JPY registered its highest weekly close since November as it failed to benefit from the USD's dismal performance. The resilience of the US T-bond yields and the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) dovish tone allowed the pair to gain traction in the second half of the week. USD/JPY was last seen moving sideways above 141.50.

Gold price closed the previous week virtually unchanged, slightly above $1,950. XAU/USD is having a difficult time finding direction early Monday.

AUD/USD edges lower but holds above 0.6850 in the European morning. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) is expected to announce a rate cut early Tuesday. 

USD/CAD fell below 1.3180 and touched its lowest level since September on Friday. The pair clings to small recovery gains at around 1.3200 on Monday.

Bitcoin fluctuated in a narrow channel over the weekend and extended its sideways action above $26,000 early Monday. Ethereum recovered from the three-month low it set at $1,620 mid-week last week and stabilized above $1,700.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rises to 1.1800 neighborhood amid renewed USD selling and trade uncertainties

The EUR/USD pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday and jumps to the 1.1800 neighborhood in the last hour, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The intraday move up is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar, which continues to be weighed down by persistent trade-related uncertainties.

GBP/USD remains stronger above 1.3500 following Trump’s State of the Union

GBP/USD remains in the positive territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar remains subdued following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address of his second administration before a joint session of Congress.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid tariffs and geopolitical woes

Gold buyers are back in the game early Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.