|

Forex Today: US Dollar consolidates gains ahead of high-tier US data releases

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, July 6:

The US Dollar Index edges lower but manages to hold above 103.00 after having closed in the positive territory for three straight days. The market mood remains cautious early Thursday, with US stock index futures trading in the red. ADP Employment Change for June, weekly Initial Jobless Claims and JOLTS Job Openings data for May will be featured in the US economic docket. The ISM will release the June Services PMI survey as well.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released the minutes of its June meeting late Wednesday. The publication revealed that some officials favoured a 25 basis points (bps) rate hike. “Almost all participants noted that in their economic projections that they judged that additional increases in the target federal funds rate during 2023 would be appropriate," the Fed said, reaffirming the hawkish dot plot.

Wall Street's main indexes registered small losses on Wednesday, while the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield climbed to its highest level since March, above 3.9%.

EUR/USD fell to a fresh three-week-low below 1.0840 early Thursday before recovering above 1.0860 in the European morning. The data from Germany revealed that Factory Orders rose 6.4% on a monthly basis in May following the 0.4% contraction recorded in April. This reading surpassed the market expectation for a 1.5% growth by a wide margin. Eurostat will publish May Retail Sales data later in the session.

Despite the broad US Dollar strength, GBP/USD stayed in a tight range on Wednesday. In the early European session, the pair continues to move sideways, slightly above 1.2700.

Following Wednesday's choppy action, USD/JPY came under renewed bearish pressure and dropped below 144.00. 

Gold price climbed to a 10-day high of $1,935 on Wednesday but turned south when US yields surged higher. XAU/USD edges higher early Thursday and trades near $1,920.

USD/CAD gathered bullish momentum and rose above 1.3300 for the first time since mid-June early Thursday. Statistics Canada will release International Merchandise Trade data for May.

Bitcoin broke below $31,000 and closed in the negative territory for the second straight day on Wednesday. BTC/USD stages a rebound and trades above $30,500 in the European morning. Ethereum lost more than 1% on Wednesday and dropped below $1,900 before recovering back above that level early Thursday.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.