|

Forex Today: Troubled trade talks dampen markets, BOE 's Super Thursday awaited, oil prices slip

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, November 7:
- Trade trouble: The US and China may delay the signing of the trade deal to December as terms and the venue for the ceremony are still discussed. The news that broke late on Wednesday dampened markets. The safe-haven yen and Gold are on the rise while commodity currencies, the euro, and the pound are falling. If things improve, AUD/JPY may be the big winner.
- Super Thursday for the BOE: The Bank of England releases its rate decision, meeting minutes, and the Quarterly Inflation Report. The "Old Lady" may downgrade its forecasts and perhaps remove the hawkish bias. Governor Mark Carney will explain the QIR and answer questions afterward. It is his last such press conference before his term ends.
See BOE Preview: Three reasons why Carney's last Super Thursday may send GBP/USD down
- UK elections: Opinion polls have shown a marginal squeeze in the Conservatives' lead, leaving a high probability of a hung parliament with five weeks to go. Prime Minister Boris Johnson officially kicked off the campaign on Wednesday. 
- US data: Productivity dropped by 0.3% in the third quarter, well below expectations. This is an ominous sign for future growth.  Weekly unemployment claims are eyed today.
- Europe: The European Commission releases new economic forecasts later today after several German figures marginally beat expectations earlier this week. Nevertheless, Brussels is set to downgrade its forecasts.
- Oil prices remain after pressure as OPEC and non-OPEC countries seem unkeen on cutting production. 
- Cryptocurrencies are on the back foot, with Ripple dipping below $0.30.

More US-China trade and the global economy: Q&A with FXStreet senior analyst Joseph Trevisani

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold benefits from a retreating USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar pullback from an over three-month high, though it remains below the $5,200 mark. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Morgan Stanley files amended S-1 for spot Bitcoin ETF

Morgan Stanley submitted an amended S-1 filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday, providing additional details on its proposed Bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.