Forex today was mixed, with higher beta FX performing well, the greenback ending lower, selling off late, and US yields out of synch with the US dollar, with the US 10-year benchmark ending higher, +0.63% while the DXY ended -0.26%.
All eyes are on the FOMC tomorrow, but that didn't prevent markets from moving in the FX space at least. The Yen was good two-way business between 111.20 and 111.88, trading through key technical levels in a choppy fashion. Sterling was just as choppy between 1.3468 the low and 1.3552 the highs while the cross's bid from 0.8842 met highs of 0.8899 and capped there, offered back down to 0.8866. EUR/USD met the 1.20 handle for a second attempt in the US session after previous bids overnight, making for a range of 1.1950-1.2006 double top - fuelled by solid macro theme and ZEW, energized initially by yen supply that took EUR/JPY to 21-month highs overnight.
Meanwhile, commodities were robust, WTI still traded within a $1.00 range around the $50 handle. Gold was holding on by the skin of its teeth, recovering $5 to $1,311.55 the high before closing at $1,310. Dec copper ended +0.20% higher on the session. AUD +0.60 at 0.8007 and Kiwi, +0.79% at 0.7314 (positive GDT price index) - roll on the FOMC!
Key events in Asia
Analysts at Westpac offered their outlooks for today's risk events in Asia:
"NZ: the Q2 current account balance is expected to remain at -3.1% of GDP, with exports remaining firm.
Australia: Aug Westpac-MI Leading Index was last at -0.32%, having swung from well above trend to back below trend in recent months. RBA Assistant Governor Ellis speaks at an ABE briefing, Sydney 1:05 pm."
Key notes from US session
- FOMC Preview: there's nothing the Fed can do to save the greenback
- New Zealand GDT Price Index rose from previous 0.3% to 0.9%
- US Pres. Trump: Iran deal was one of the worst and one-sided transactions
- Atlanta Fed: GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth in Q3 steady at 2.2%
- US: Homebuilding looked solid prior to the storms - Wells Fargo
- US: Focus on Sep FOMC meeting - Westpac
- Wall Street records modest gains as FOMC meeting gets underway
- Gold remains stuck in tight range above $1300
- AUD/USD edges higher above 0.80 post-US data
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0850 on renewed USD strength
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and declined toward 1.0850 in the early European session on Tuesday, pressured by the renewed USD strength. ZEW sentiment survey will be featured in the European economic docket ahead of housing data from the US.
USD/JPY extends rally beyond 150.00 as markets assess BoJ decisions
USD/JPY preserves its bullish momentum after breaking above 150.00 with the 'sell the fact' reaction to the Bank of Japan's decision to end negative interest rates. In the post-meeting press conference, Governor Ueda said they will consider options for easing broadly, including ones used in the past if needed.
Gold price struggles to lure buyers, holds steady above one-week low ahead of FOMC meeting
Gold price ticks lower amid reduced Fed rate cut bets, elevated US bond yields and stronger USD. Geopolitical tensions could lend some support to the safe-haven XAU/USD and help limit losses.
Why is the crypto market crashing?
The two most important contribution to the ongoing bull market is the meteoric rise in Bitcoin due to the ETF approval and the sudden interest spike in Solana ecosystem. But the recent move suggests that the upward momentum is dissipating and a correction looms.
Lots of tension ahead of this week's Fed decision
Last week, we got a strong round of US economic data accompanied by hotter US inflation reads. The takeaway of course is that there might be a lot more pressure on the Fed to be looking to scale back its rate cut outlook at this week’s meeting.