|

Forex Today: Sentiment improved but the US Dollar remains strong ahead of US CPI

What you need to take care of on Tuesday, February 14:

Tensions between the US and China weighed on the market mood at the weekly opening, with the Greenback making the most out of it. However, a better market mood during European trading hours pushed the US Dollar into the red across the FX board.

Still, the absence of relevant macroeconomic releases and the upcoming US Consumer Price Index update limited the intraday US Dollar slide. Market players await the release of the January United States Consumer Price Index (CPI). Inflation is foreseen raising at an annualized pace of 6.2%, easing from 6.5% YoY in December. The core reading, excluding volatile food and energy prices, is expected at 5.5%. Although the US Federal Reserve does not base its decision on this particular figure, it has a high impact on financial markets, as it reflects price pressures in the country.

The EUR/USD pair bottomed at 1.0655, bouncing towards the 1.0720 price zone. The pair retains gains in early Asia, despite ignoring early headlines. The European Commission released the quarterly Economic Growth Forecasts report. Economic growth in the Euro Zone has been upwardly revised, now seen at 0.9%. Additionally, inflation forecasts have been downwardly revised to 5.6% for this year and 2.5% in 2024.

The British Pound was among the best performers, advancing vs its American rival to 1.2144, retreating modestly ahead of the close. The UK will publish its latest employment figures on Tuesday.

The AUD/USD pair currently trades at around 0.6960, while USD/CAD is down to the 1.3330 region, with commodity-linked currencies benefiting from the better tone of Wall Street. US indexes pulled back from their intraday highs but anyway ended the day with gains.

Government bond yields seesawed across the day, appreciating during Asian trading hours but shedding some ground at the end of the day amid a better mood. However, the yield on the 2-year Treasury note advanced, while that on the 10-year note finished the day pretty much unchanged.

Spot gold eased and trades at fresh February lows just above $1,850 a troy ounce. Crude oil prices, on the other hand, followed equities with WTI up to $80 a barrel. 


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.