|

Forex Today: Risk flows return at the start of the week

Here is what you need to know on Monday, June 6:

Safe-haven assets struggle to find demand at the beginning of the week amid some risk-positive developments. US stock index futures rise between 0.5% and 0.7% in the European morning and the US Dollar Index stays relatively quiet above 102.00. Trading conditions are likely to remain thin during the first half of the day due to the Whit Monday holiday in Europe. The US economic docket will not be offering any high-impact data releases either.

Chinese authorities announced over the weekend that Beijing will allow residents to return to work from Monday and schools will resume from June 13 onwards. Additionally, traffic bans in most areas of Beijing will be lifted as well. Moreover, US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo reaffirmed on Sunday that US President Joe Biden's administration is planning to ease tariffs on Chinese imports to battle inflation.

Meanwhile, the data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed on Friday that Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose by 390,000 in May, compared to the market expectation of 325,000. 

US May Nonfarm Payrolls: Just what the Fed ordered.

On a negative note, the data from China showed that Caixin Services PMI improved modestly to 41.4 in May from 36.2 in April. This print came in much weaker than the market expectation of 47.3 and showed that the business activity in the service sector continued to contract at a strong pace.

EUR/USD closed the previous week virtually unchanged and continues to move sideways above 1.0700 in the early European session on Monday.

GBP/USD fluctuates in a tight range near 1.2500 in the European morning after having closed the previous week in negative territory. Several news outlets reported that a confidence vote on Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to be announced on Monday.

USD/JPY rose more than 300 pips last week and stays relatively quiet above 130.50 on Monday. Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reiterated on Monday that Japan is absolutely not in a situation that warrants policy tightening.

Gold erased a large portion of its weekly gains on Friday after the upbeat US May jobs report triggered a rally in US Treasury bond yields. The benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield, which rose more than 7% last week, stays quiet near 2.95% early Monday and XAU/USD fluctuates at around $1,850.

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD has room to recover before the next downswing kicks in.

Bitcoin has gained traction on Monday and climbed above $31,000 after spending the weekend in a narrow channel below $30,000. Ethereum is up nearly 4% in the European morning but continues to trade below the key $2,000 level.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold not done with record highs

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.