|

Forex Today: New month, fresh market gains, PMIs, Powell's testimony and Brexit eyed

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, December 1

Markets have resumed their gains and the dollar is on the back foot once again as the dust settles from end-of-month flows. Optimism about vaccines and Brexit counter concerns from Powell and Yellen about the US economy. 

New month: November ended with a drop in stocks, correcting only a fraction of the considerable gains recorded during the month. The US dollar bounced back on Monday. After the dust settled, the greenback is on the back foot, equities are upbeat and also gold is edging higher toward $1,800.

GBP/USD has resumed its gains within the range amid upbeat comments about Brexit talks. Negotiators continue talks in London and strive to reach a deal this week. Fisheries and a level-playing field remain the thorny issues. 

EUR/USD is trading above 1.1950 after touching the 1.20 level on Monday. The preliminary November Consumer Price Index figures for the eurozone are set to show subdued inflation after German statistics fell short of estimates. Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank, will speak again on Tuesday and will probably reiterate her commitment to adding stimulus later this month.

Vaccine: Moderna completed its COVID-19 immunization Phase 3 trial, confirming around 94% efficacy. The firm announced it submitted an application for emergency usage and a hearing is due on December 17. The Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine may be approved in the UK in the next few days and in the US next week. Another effort from Novavax is also gaining traction. The news underpins gains. 

Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve expressed concern about the current spread of the virus in prepared comments ahead of Tuesday's testimony. While he committed to supporting the economy, Powell did not hint if additional bond-buying will be announced later this month. \

See Powell's CARES Testimony Preview: A little optimism might help

Janet Yellen, Powell's predecessor at the Fed, was officially nominated as President-elect Joe Biden's Treasury Secretary. In an initial reaction, she echoed worries about the suffering in the months ahead but vowed to keep the American Dream alive. The most recent figures show yet another record in coronavirus hospitalizations, above 96,000. 

AUD/USD has resumed its gains amid US dollar weakness and on the background of the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate decision. The RBA left interest rates unchanged at 0.1% as expected. 

The US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index is set to edge down from the highs but remains on solid ground. The forward-looking indicator serves as a hint toward Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report. 

See US ISM Manufacturing PMI Preview: With a tablespoon of salt

The Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI and a parallel figure from Japan both beat estimates, adding to the upbeat mood. Final industrial sector surveys are due out for the eurozone and the UK. 

WTI Crude Oil is battling the $45 level after OPEC+ members failed to reach an agreement on extending production cuts and are set to extend talks in the next few days.

USD/CAD is battling the 1.30 level amid the moves in petrol prices and ahead of Canada's Gross Domestic Product release. Third-quarter GDP is set to leap by 47.6% annualized after collapsing by 38.% beforehand. 

Bitcoin is consolidating its gains above $19,000 after flirting with all-time highs on Monday, hitting records on some exchanges but not on others. Ethereum and XRP remain at the top of their recent trading ranges. 

More Markets return to normal, and traders may be loving it

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens toward 1.1600 as firm US data revives the US Dollar

The EUR/USD edged lower on Thursday, down some 0.21% as market sentiment remains risk averse due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This and solid US economic data pushed the pair lower towards the 1.1600 figure ahead of Friday’s session.

GBP/USD drifts lower heading into NFP range

GBP/USD edged lower by 0.2% on Thursday, settling close to 1.3350 in a strained trading session that kept the pair pinned near three-month lows. Price briefly recovered earlier in the day on reports that Iran had indirectly signaled openness to talks with the CIA, but the bounce faded as Israeli officials reportedly advised Washington to disregard the overture. 

Gold slumps below $5,100 as US Dollar gains

Gold price tumbles to near $5,085 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal loses ground amid a stronger US Dollar. The US employment report for February will take center stage later on Friday. 

NYSE parent Intercontinental Exchange partners with OKX, invests at a $25B valuation

OKX announced an investment from Intercontinental Exchange, raising its valuation to $25 billion, alongside a partnership to expand regulated crypto futures and tokenized equity offerings globally.

Two PMIs, two Chinas

China’s economic data are often treated with a degree of caution by global investors. The challenge is not necessarily that the numbers are incorrect, but that they can describe very different parts of a vast and complex economy. Nowhere is that more evident than in China’s PMIs.

Ripple tests recovery strength amid steady ETF inflows, growing retail interest

Ripple (XRP) continues to demonstrate notable resilience as the cryptocurrency market navigates the persistent war in the Middle East after the United States (US) and Israel attacked Iran on Saturday.