Forex Today: Markets turn cautiously optimistic as focus shifts to US CPI


Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, May 11:

The positive shift witnessed in risk mood mid-week makes it difficult for the greenback to continue outperforming its rivals. As investors await the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the US, which is expected to decline to 8.1% on a yearly basis in April from 8.5% in March, the US Dollar Index stays relatively quiet below 104.00. Market participants will also continue to pay close attention to comments from central bankers, including European Central bank Christine Lagarde, throughout the day.

US CPI Preview: Hard core inflation to propel dollar to new highs, and two other scenarios.

On Tuesday, US President Joe Biden said that the Federal Reserve is focused on taming inflation and added that his administration was considering eliminating Trump-era tariffs on Chinese imports to lower prices. "No decision has been made on it," Biden further noted. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% on a daily basis on this headline. The S&P 500 Index closed in positive territory on Tuesday but the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite indexes registered losses. Early Wednesday, US stock index futures post modest gains. The data from China showed that the annual CPI jumped to 2.1% in April, compared to the market expectation of 1.8%.

US April CPI Preview: Has inflation peaked?

Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield fell for the second straight day on Tuesday and continues to push lower below 3% early Wednesday. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said on Tuesday that the Fed will have to see what's more needed after hiking the policy rate by 50 basis points in June and July.

EUR/USD continues to move up and down in its tight weekly range above 1.0500 early Wednesday. European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau told France Inter radio on Wednesday that the illusion of a limitless and costless debt was very attractive but also very dangerous.

GBP/USD closed flat above 1.2300 on Tuesday and posts small gains at around 1.2350 in the European session. In a recently published report, the UK's National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) said that the Bank of England needs to raise the policy rate to 2.5% next year to be able to battle inflation.

Gold slumped to its weakest level in nearly three months at $1,832 early Wednesday. Despite falling US Treasury bond yields, the yellow metal continues to have a tough time finding demand. XAU/USD is trading modestly higher on the day at around $1,845 n the European morning. 

USD/JPY stays directionless above 130.000 for the fourth straight trading day on Thursday. Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno said earlier in the day that the government must respect the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) jurisdiction in setting the monetary policy.

Following Monday's sharp decline, Bitcoin rebounded modestly on Tuesday but failed to gather bullish momentum. At the time of press, BTC/USD was down more than 1% on the day at $30,600. Ethereum rose more than 5% on Tuesday but reversed its course early Wednesday. ETH/USD was last seen losing 1.3% at $2,300.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: Uptrend remains capped by 0.6650

AUD/USD: Uptrend remains capped by 0.6650

AUD/USD could not sustain the multi-session march north and faltered once again ahead of the 0.6650 region on the back of the strong rebound in the Greenback and the prevailing risk-off mood.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD meets a tough barrier around 1.0800

EUR/USD meets a tough barrier around 1.0800

The resurgence of the bid bias in the Greenback weighed on the risk-linked assets and motivated EUR/USD to retreat to the 1.0750 region after another failed attempt to retest the 1.0800 zone.

EUR/USD News

Gold eases toward $2,310 amid a better market mood

Gold eases toward $2,310 amid a better market mood

After falling to $2,310 in the early European session, Gold recovered to the $2,310 area in the second half of the day. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.5% and helps XAU/USD find support.

Gold News

Bitcoin price coils up for 20% climb, Standard Chartered forecasts more gains for BTC

Bitcoin price coils up for 20% climb, Standard Chartered forecasts more gains for BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) price remains devoid of directional bias, trading sideways as part of a horizontal chop. However, this may be short-lived as BTC price action consolidates in a bullish reversal pattern on the one-day time frame.

Read more

What does stagflation mean for commodity prices?

What does stagflation mean for commodity prices?

What a difference a quarter makes. The Federal Reserve rang in 2024 with a bout of optimism that inflation was coming down to their 2% target. But that optimism has now evaporated as the reality of stickier-than-expected inflation becomes more evident. 

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures