|

Forex Today: Investors’ attention is expected to be on US CPI

Following the release of February’s NFP, the US Dollar regained some fresh upside traction and lifted the USD Index (DXY) from recent multi-week lows, while putting the risk-associated universe under some downside pressure at the beginning of the week, all prior to the key release of US inflation figures on March 12.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, March 12:

The Greenback reversed part of its multi-day decline and sparked a humble bounce in the USD Index (DXY) to the area just shy of the 103.00 barrier on Monday. On March 12, all the attention will be on the publication of US inflation figures measured by the CPI for the month of February.

EUR/USD gave away further ground and added to Friday’s small retracement, although it maintained the trade above the 1.0900 barrier. Germany’s final Inflation Rate will be the sole release in the euro docket on March 12.

GBP/USD came under marked selling pressure and briefly pierced the 1.2800 support, clinching its first daily drop after six straight sessions of gains. In the UK, the labour market report takes centre stage on March 12.

Further yen gains kept USD/JPY on the back foot for yet another session, this time revisiting the area of six-week lows near 146.50. On March 12, Producer Prices and the BSI Large Manufacturing index are due.

AUD/USD lost some upside traction and receded from last week’s tops near 0.6670 amidst some recovery in the US Dollar, while investors seem to have started to price in another “on hold” decision by the RBA on March 19.

WTI prices kept their consolidative theme well in place around the key 200-day SMA in the $78.00 region per barrel. Next on tap for the commodity is the weekly report on US crude oil inventories tracked by the API on Tuesday.

Some cautious trade turned up around Gold on Monday, which continued to hover around the recent all-time peak near $2,190 per troy ounce. Silver, in the same line, resumed its monthly rally and retested the $24.50 region per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces to 1.3550 on USD retreat

GBP/USD rebounds to test 1.3550 at the start of a new week, reversing a part of Friday's heavy losses to over a one-week trough. The pair draws support from renewed US Dollar weakness, but lacks bullish conviction amid looming US-Iran geopolitical risks.

EUR/USD edges higher to near 1.1600 ahead of German CPI data

EUR/USD gathers strength to near 1.1600 in European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar pulls back despite hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh. Traders will now take cues from the preliminary reading of Consumer Price Index inflation data from Germany, which is due later on Monday.

Gold holds recovery near $4,450; still cautious

Gold holds its recovery near $4,450 in the European session on Monday, moving away from sub-$4,400 levels, though the upside potential seems limited. A softer US Dollar offers some support to the precious metal and helps recover its intraday losses. Meanwhile, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's comments on curbing inflationary pressures on Friday lifted bets for a rate hike, which might keep a lid on any meaningful recovery for the non-yielding bullion.

Dogecoin whales take profits as rally loses momentum

Dogecoin trades near key support around $0.081 after declining more than 12% last week. On-chain data suggests some whale wallets are taking profits after DOGE’s recent surge. Meanwhile, derivatives data points to mild underlying strength, while technical indicators suggest bullish momentum is losing strength, leaving the meme coin’s near-term outlook mixed.

Oil rallies on fresh persian gulf strikes
Energy prices are trading firmer this morning after the US carried out targeted strikes against Iran, drawing retaliatory strikes and reinforcing concerns about a prolonged stalemate in the Persian Gulf. Oil prices started the week stronger following the first military strikes between the US and Iran in a month. ICE Brent briefly moved back above US$90/bbl in early morning Asia trading.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.