|

Forex Today: Dollar's rebound loses momentum; yields remain volatile

During the Asian session, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will release the inflation expectation report for the fourth quarter. Japan will release the Leading Economic Index data. Later in the day, the focus will be on Fed Chair Powell's speech.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, November 8:

The US Dollar pulled back during the American session and lost momentum amid reversals in Treasury yields and as stocks on Wall Street turned positive. The 10-year yield fell from 4.65% to 4.54%, while the 2-year yield dropped from 4.95% to 4.89%. The US Dollar Index rose for the second day but finished around 105.50 after reaching a two-day high at 105.77.

No top-tier reports are due from the US on Wednesday. The key event will be a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. There appears to be little room for surprises. Fed officials agreed during their last appearances that data will guide the next decisions. While they do not rule out further tightening, it appears that the Fed is done raising interest rates. However, the decline of the US Dollar remains limited and exposed to important correction as fundamentals still favor the US.

EUR/USD rebounded at 1.0670 and climbed back to the 1.0700 area. The pair lost ground but maintained a bullish tone in the short term. On Wednesday, Germany will release the final reading of consumer inflation, which is expected to bring no surprises, and Eurozone will report September Retail Sales.

The Pound lagged on Tuesday. The Bank of England's (BoE) policy outlook continues to sound dovish after last week's monetary policy meeting. GBP/USD pulled back for the second day in a row and bottomed at 1.2262 before rebounding to 1.2300.

USD/JPY rose for the second day, despite the reversals in US Treasury yields, and tested levels above 150.50. The pair remains bullish in the short term but is losing momentum.

The Australian Dollar was among the worst performers on Tuesday, despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) rate hike. The central bank's dovish tone weighed on the Aussie. AUD/USD found support at the 0.6400 zone and rose to 0.6430, boosted by a decline in the US Dollar during the American session.

Analysts at TD Securities on AUD/USD:

Near term, we see the AUD returning to the US$0.63-0.65 range. However, longer term we are bullish the AUD given our view that the USD correction has begun while Chinese stimulus should begin to bear fruit.

NZD/USD pulled back further from 0.6000 and bottomed at 0.5908 before turning higher and reaching 0.5940. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will release the inflation expectation report on Wednesday.

Metals remained under pressure. Silver is trading dangerously below $22.80 and hit two-week lows at $22.43. Gold dropped to $1956, a two-week low before trimming losses.
 


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.