Forex Today:  Dollar holds firm, focus turns to inflation data


Next week, markets will continue to digest the outcomes of recent central bank meetings. Additionally, market participants will closely monitor the release of economic data, with a particular focus on inflation figures from the Eurozone and the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index.

Here is what you need to know for next week: 

The US Dollar Index recorded its tenth consecutive weekly gain, ending around 105.50. The DXY continues to trend upward, supported by US economic data and the recent Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.

During the FOMC meeting, interest rates were left unchanged in the range of 5.25% to 5.50%. In terms of macroeconomic projections, most members still see the possibility of further rate hikes later this year. Economic data in the US showed mixed results, with housing data coming in weaker while Jobless Claims dropped to the lowest level since January.

Next week, the key focus in the US will be on Friday's release of the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index. It is expected to show a decline from an annual rate of 4.2% to 3.9%. The third estimate of Q2 GDP will be released on Thursday.

The Japanese yen was among the worst-performing major currencies. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) left its monetary policy unchanged at the September meeting, with Governor Ueda stating that any change would only occur when the achievement of 2% inflation is in sight. Japan will release several economic indicators next Friday, including the Tokyo Consumer Price Index, Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence, and household spending for August. However, the focus will remain on the potential intervention from Japanese authorities to curb the yen's weakness. USD/JPY reached its highest level in decades above 148.00, supported by higher US yields and the BoJ's policy stance.

The British Pound lagged following the Bank of England's decision to keep interest rates unchanged after a slowdown in inflation in August. Next Friday, the UK will release a new estimate of Q2 GDP growth. GBP/USD declined for the third consecutive week, reaching its lowest level since March at 1.2232, before closing around 1.2260. The pair has strong support around 1.2200. EUR/GBP surged from below 0.8600 to 0.8700, marking its biggest weekly gains since February.

EUR/USD finished the week near 1.0650 after hitting fresh monthly lows at 1.0614. The Eurozone PMI provided some relief with a rebound on Friday. Inflation data will be crucial next week, with Spain and Germany kicking off with CPI on Thursday, followed by France, Italy, and the Eurozone on Friday.

The Swiss franc lost ground against major currencies after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) left its key interest rate unchanged at 1.75%. The Swissy was also influenced by the dovish stance of the European Central Bank. USD/CHF accelerated to the upside, breaking decisively above 0.9000 to its highest level since June. EUR/CHF surged from around 0.9550 to 0.9660.

AUD/USD continued to trade within a range between 0.6500 and 0.6350. Australia will release the Monthly Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, with the annual rate expected to rebound from 4.9% in July to 5.2% in August. Retail sales data will be released on Thursday.

The New Zealand Dollar was the best-performing major currency during the week. NZD/USD gained almost 1%, rising to 0.5975 but was unable to reclaim the 0.6000 level.

On a volatile week for metals market, Gold ended the week flat around $1,925 after recovering ground on Friday. Silver remained above $23.00 and closed around $23.50.
 

 


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD retreats from four-month highs after higher Unemployment Rate

AUD/USD retreats from four-month highs after higher Unemployment Rate

The AUD/USD snapped its three-day winning streak, trading around 0.6680 after the higher-than-expected Aussie Unemployment Rate on Thursday, which rose to 4.1% in April from the previous reading of 3.9%. 

AUD/USD News

USD/JPY trims losses below 154.50 following Japan’s GDP data

USD/JPY trims losses below 154.50 following Japan’s GDP data

USD/JPY trims losses near 154.45 during the Asian session on Thursday. The softer US CPI inflation data has exerted some selling pressure on the US Dollar. However, the major pair recovers modestly following the recent weaker-than-expected Japan’s Gross Domestic Product in the first quarter of 2024. 

USD/JPY News

Gold price jumps as US CPI inflation fuels Fed rate cuts

Gold price jumps as US CPI inflation fuels Fed rate cuts

Gold price gains traction amid the weaker US Dollar on Thursday. The recent Consumer Price Index report showed inflation in the US slowed in April, prompting market players to increase their bets on the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year. 

Gold News

DOGE’s 15% upside potential hinges on Bitcoin holding above $65K

DOGE’s 15% upside potential hinges on Bitcoin holding above $65K

Dogecoin price is trading with a bullish bias, leading meme coins north as sector bulls resurface. This show of hand comes after Bitcoin price broke past the $65,000 threshold and could extend if the pioneer cryptocurrency holds above this level.

Read more

Dow Jones Industrial Average soars 350 points, sets new all-time high as rate cut hopes surge

Dow Jones Industrial Average soars 350 points, sets new all-time high as rate cut hopes surge

The Dow Jones Industrial Average clipped into a fresh all-time high on Wednesday, gaining almost nine-tenths of a percent during the US market session after US Consumer Price Index inflation slipped further back.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures