|

Forex Today: CPI-inspired dollar selloff pauses ahead of mid-tier data

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 11:

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of six major currencies, lost more than 1% on Wednesday after the data from the US showed that annual inflation declined to 8.5% in July from 9.1% in June. DXY stays in a consolidation phase above 105.00 early Thursday as investors await the weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the Producer Price Index (PPI) data from the US. Following Wednesday's impressive rally, Wall Street's main indexes remain on track to open in positive territory with US stock index futures rising between 0.35% and 0.5%. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to fluctuate between 2.7% and 2.8%.

Commenting on the inflation data, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that they were not finished with rate hikes. On a similar note, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly both argued that it was too early to declare victory on inflation. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 56% probability of the Fed opting for a 50 basis points rate hike in September.

US Inflation Analysis: It is peak inflation only until the Fed's verdict, stock rally at risk.

EUR/USD climbed to its highest level in a month at 1.0368 on Wednesday but retreated to the 1.0300 area in the European session on Thursday.

GBP/USD gained more than 100 pips on Wednesday and advanced toward 1.2300 before losing its bullish momentum. Ahead of Friday's growth data from the UK, the pair stays relatively quiet above 1.2200. 

UK GDP Preview: Early confirmation of BOE’s recession forecast.

USD/JPY fell sharply on soft US inflation data but the T-bond yields' resilience helped the pair find support. As of writing, USD/JPY was moving sideways in a narrow band below 133.00.

Gold advanced beyond $1,800 for the first time in nearly two months on Wednesday but failed to preserve its bullish momentum. After having closed the day with small losses on Wednesday, XAU/USD continues to inch lower and was last seen trading below $1,790.

Bitcoin benefited from the risk-positive market environment and gained nearly 4% on Wednesday. BTC/USD pushes higher toward $25,000 and early Thursday. Ethereum is trading at its highest level in two months and closes in on $2,000. 

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rises on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven flows

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October.  Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Solana risks correction within descending wedge as bearish bets rise

Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).