|

Fed's Daly: We are likely to need a couple more rate hikes this year

Commenting on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook, "we're likely to need a couple more rate hikes over the course of this year to really bring inflation sustainably back to the Fed's 2% goal," San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Monday.

Additional takeaways

"US economic momentum continues to surprise. In context of that momentum, there's more we need to do to raise rates."

"We also need to balance against risks."

"The risks have become more balanced."

"With labor market still strong, inflation high, risks of doing too little are outweighing risks of doing too much."

"It's appropriate to slow the pace of rate hikes."

"We need to be resolute, and thoughtful."

"There are longer lags than we assumed."

"It's too early to declare victory on getting demand in balance with supply."

"We may end up doing less or more than a couple rate hikes this year, depending on the data."

"One lesson learned from last cycle is that fed could raise rates even if balance sheet still expanding."

"Credit tightening from March banking stresses is probably less than the quarter-point to 50 bps rate hike I have thought."

Market reaction

The US Dollar Index stays on the back foot in the American session on Monday and was last seen losing 0.2% on the day at 102.06.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.