|

EUR/USD weakens below 1.0750 as Eurozone political uncertainty poses downside risks for Euro

  • EUR/USD loses traction around 1.0730 as markets turn cautious in Thursday’s early European session. 
  • The worries about the Eurozone political uncertainty in the Eurozone continue to undermine the Euro. 
  • The Fed’s wait-and-see mode might boost the Greenback despite the recent weaker US Retail Sales data. 

The EUR/USD pair weakens near 1.0730, snapping the three-day winning streak during the early European session on Thursday. However, the upside for the pair seems limited as investors are worried about the political uncertainty in the Eurozone. Investors will closely watch the preliminary Eurozone and US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for June, which are due on Friday. 

The cautious mood by the calling of a snap election in France after a defeat by the far-right National Rally raised fear of Eurozone political uncertainty and weighed on the Euro (EUR). Furthermore, the divergence in monetary policy between the Eurozone and the US might further drag the shared currency lower. On Wednesday, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Mario Centeno said that the central bank can ease monetary policy further so long as inflation continues to moderate. 

Across the pond, the weaker US Retail Sales report suggested signs of subdued activity among US consumers, fueling the case for US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts later this year, which is likely to weaken the Greenback in the near term. However, the hawkish tone from several Fed officials might cap the Greenback’s downside. Boston Fed President Susan Collins warned on Tuesday that it is still too early to say whether or not inflation is on course towards the Fed’s 2% target. Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said that he needs to wait for several more months of economic data before considering cutting the interest rate. 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0731
Today Daily Change-0.0012
Today Daily Change %-0.11
Today daily open1.0743
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0809
Daily SMA501.0768
Daily SMA1001.0799
Daily SMA2001.0789
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0753
Previous Daily Low1.0725
Previous Weekly High1.0852
Previous Weekly Low1.0668
Previous Monthly High1.0895
Previous Monthly Low1.065
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0743
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0736
Daily Pivot Point S11.0727
Daily Pivot Point S21.0712
Daily Pivot Point S31.0699
Daily Pivot Point R11.0756
Daily Pivot Point R21.0769
Daily Pivot Point R31.0784


 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.