- Euro loses ground, although Germany reports steady inflation; traders await the ECB’s decision.
- NFIB Business Optimism Index in the US climbs to 101.7, marking the highest since June 2021.
- Traders await upcoming US CPI data, searching for clues about the Fed’s December decision.
The Euro fell from 1.0600 on Monday and tumbled over 80 pips against the Greenback on Tuesday after Germany revealed that inflation remains steady. Meanwhile, the NFIB Business Optimism Index in the US surged to its highest level since June 2021. The EUR/USD trades at 1.0519.
EUR/USD drops amidst high US business confidence, anticipation of ECB rate cuts
The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) revealed that small businesses grew optimistic about the economy, with the index coming at 101.7, exceeding forecasts of 95.3 and 93.7 in October. Market participants mainly ignored the data, as the EUR/USD slipped below 1.0550 as traders await the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy on December 12.
In the meantime, EUR/USD traders are eyeing the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the US ahead of the ECB’s decision. Lagarde and Co. are widely expected to lower borrowing costs; the odds stand at a 100% chance, with the swaps market expecting 28 basis points (bps) of easing.
Data-wise, Germany revealed the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), which came steadily at 2.4% YoY in headline figures as expected. The month-over-month figures remained at -0.7%, unchanged and as foreseen by analysts, an indication that inflation continues to edge lower.
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
The EUR/USD has a neutral downward bias after registering lower lows for the last two days, indicating that bears remain reluctant to give bulls any chance of recovery. Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), confirms that thesis, as the RSI edges lower yet is shy of clearing the latest trough.
If EUR/USD clears 1.0500, the next support would be the December 2 low of 1.0460, followed by the yearly low of 1.0331. On the other hand, if buyers drive spot prices above 1.0600, this will clear the path for a recovery, but bulls must clear 1.0700 before challenging the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.0727.
Euro PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.21% | -0.09% | 0.32% | -0.07% | 0.69% | 0.84% | 0.11% | |
| EUR | -0.21% | -0.29% | 0.08% | -0.29% | 0.47% | 0.63% | -0.09% | |
| GBP | 0.09% | 0.29% | 0.35% | 0.00% | 0.77% | 0.92% | 0.19% | |
| JPY | -0.32% | -0.08% | -0.35% | -0.37% | 0.39% | 0.53% | -0.18% | |
| CAD | 0.07% | 0.29% | -0.01% | 0.37% | 0.76% | 0.92% | 0.19% | |
| AUD | -0.69% | -0.47% | -0.77% | -0.39% | -0.76% | 0.15% | -0.56% | |
| NZD | -0.84% | -0.63% | -0.92% | -0.53% | -0.92% | -0.15% | -0.72% | |
| CHF | -0.11% | 0.09% | -0.19% | 0.18% | -0.19% | 0.56% | 0.72% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD accelerates losses to 1.0930 on stronger Dollar
The US Dollar's recovery regains extra impulse sending the US Dollar Index to fresh highs and relegating EUR/USD to navigate the area of daily troughs around 1.0930 in the latter part of Friday's session.
GBP/USD plummets to four-week lows near 1.2850
The US Dollar's rebound keep gathering steam and now sends GBP/USD to the area of multi-week lows in the 1.2850 region amid the broad-based pullback in the risk-associated universe.
Gold trades on the back foot, flirts with $3,000
Gold prices are accelerating their daily decline, steadily approaching the critical $3,000 per troy ounce mark as the Greenback's rebound gains extra momentum and US yields tighten their retracement.
Can Maker break $1,450 hurdle as whales launch buying spree?
Maker holds steadily above $1,250 support as a whale scoops $1.21 million worth of MKR. Addresses with a 100k to 1 million MKR balance now account for 24.27% of Maker’s total supply. Maker battles a bear flag pattern as bulls gather for an epic weekend move.
Strategic implications of “Liberation Day”
Liberation Day in the United States came with extremely protectionist and inward-looking tariff policy aimed at just about all U.S. trading partners. In this report, we outline some of the more strategic implications of Liberation Day and developments we will be paying close attention to going forward.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.