- EUR/USD sticks around 1.1000 amid obscurity over a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
- The Ukraine crisis has complicated the job of the ECB ahead of April’s monetary policy.
- The extent of the interest rate hike by the Fed largely banks upon the extent of US NFP.
The EUR/USD pair is auctioning back and forth in a narrow range of 1.0940-1.1440 since the previous week as investors are waiting for the speech from the European Central Board (ECB)’s President Christian Lagarde and the release of the European Union (EU)’s Unemployment Rate, which are due on Wednesday and Thursday respectively.
The speech from the ECB’s Lagarde will provide insights into the likely monetary policy action in April. The ECB policymakers have yet not increased their interest rates, unlike the other World leaders who have already turned their interest rate cycle. The Ukraine crisis amid Russian military activity on Ukrainian land has made the context complicated for the ECB policymakers. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has raised fears of stagflation in Europe. Its February inflation figure at 5.9% is very much higher than the targeted figure of 2%. Therefore, ECB’s think tank will remain in dilemma whether to elevate the interest rate or to take the bullet itself.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has rebounded sharply after sensing bids near the round level support at 99.00. Investors are eying the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for building further positions in the mighty greenback. The extent of US NFP is likely to dictate the extent of the interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) as any underperformance from the above-mentioned indicator will keep the interest rate hike in 25 basis points (bps) category.
Apart from the ECB’s Lagarde speech and US NFP, the EU’s Unemployment Rate holds significant importance. The inactive labor force rate is likely to trim to 6.7% against the previous print of 6.8%.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD: A tough barrier remains around 0.6800
AUD/USD failed to maintain the earlier surpass of the 0.6800 barrier, eventually succumbing to the late rebound in the Greenback following the Fed’s decision to lower its interest rates by50 bps.
EUR/USD still targets the 2024 peaks around 1.1200
EUR/USD added to Tuesday’s losses after the post-FOMC rebound in the US Dollar prompted the pair to give away earlier gains to three-week highs in the 1.1185-1.1190 band.
Gold surrenders gains and drops to weekly lows near $2,550
Gold prices reverses the initial uptick to record highs around the $$2,600 per ounce troy, coming under renewed downside pressure and revisiting the $2,550 zone amidst the late recovery in the US Dollar.
Australian Unemployment Rate expected to hold steady at 4.2% in August
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will release the monthly employment report at 1:30 GMT on Thursday. The country is expected to have added 25K new positions in August, while the Unemployment Rate is foreseen to remain steady at 4.2%.
Ethereum could rally to $2,817 following Fed's 50 bps rate cut
Ethereum (ETH) is trading above $2,330 on Wednesday as the market is recovering following the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Meanwhile, Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETF) recorded $15.1 million in outflows.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.