|

EUR/USD: Seen moving into a higher range after breaking 1.1000 – MUFG

The EUR/USD is moving with a bullish bias according to analysts at MUFG Bank. They see the pair trading in the range 1.0700 -1.1400 over the next weeks.

Key quotes:

“The EUR has continued to outperform other G10 currencies. The EUR is benefitting from the easing of last year’s negative terms of trade shock. The incoming economic data flow from the euro-zone is continuing to surprise to the upside although not as strongly as at the start of this year.”

“Fears over a sharper growth slowdown have also been eased by the quick action taken by the Swiss authorities to deal with concerns over the health of Credit Suisse that have helped reduce financial stability risks in Europe.”

“The better than expected growth outlook for the euro-zone economy is putting pressure on the ECB to raise rates further. We still expect the ECB to step down the pace of hikes at their next policy meeting on 4th May by delivering a 25bps hike but one can’t rule out another larger 50bps hike.”

“We expect EUR/USD to move up into a higher trading range after breaking above the 1.1000-level on a more sustained basis.”

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).