EUR/USD: Room for rebound to extend – MUFG

Matías Salord FXStreet

Analysts at MUFG Bank continue to see the EUR/USD pair moving to the upside over the next few days. They expect the pair to break out to the upside and move back closer to pre-Ukraine conflict levels from early last year.

Key quotes:

“The pair has been attempting to break above the top of this year’s trading range between 1.0500 and 1.1000 over the past week, and has spent the most time trading above the 1.1000-level this month since March of last year. We expect the pair to break to out to the upside and move back closer to pre-Ukraine conflict levels from early last year. The fundamental drivers that have helped lift EUR/USD at the start of this year remain in place and have been reinforced recently.”

“The EUR is continuing to benefit from the easing of downside risks to growth in the euro-zone.”

“Renewed concerns over the health of First Republic Bank over the past week ahead of next week’s FOMC meeting makes us more confident that the Fed will deliver a more cautious policy update. We expect one final 25bps hike from the Fed next week and a signal that they are more seriously considering pausing their hiking cycle. The narrowing policy divergence between the ECB and Fed should help to keep lifting EUR/USD to fresh year to date highs.”

Author

Matías Salord

FXStreet

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold returns to the red, awaits US NFP

Gold price is looking to test the weekly lows, while in the red near $4,450 in the early European session on Friday. The precious metal remains vulnerable amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday.

Indian Rupee jumps as RBI holds, but unveils measures to boost foreign inflows

The Reserve Bank of India held the Repo Rate at 5.25%, as widely expected, on Friday. But the central bank unveiled various measures to boost foreign inflows into the economy, lifting the Indian Rupee against the US Dollar.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin eyes $60,000, Ethereum risks $1,750, XRP could test $1

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices edge lower on Friday, extending a steady decline of roughly 15% so far this week. Institutional outflows weigh on Bitcoin and Ethereum while XRP largely follows the broader market trend.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.