|

EUR/USD remains sideways around 1.0830 amid ambiguity in risk profile, US PPI eyed

  • EUR/USD is in a rangebound territory as solid yields are weighing on risk-perceived currencies.
  • The release of the US PPI will provide more cues about inflation projections.
  • According to Bloomberg’s poll, the ECB is expected to find an interest rate peak at 3.25%.

The EUR/USD pair has continued to trade rangebound near 1.0830 in the Asian session. The major currency pair is displaying a lackluster performance amid ambiguity in the risk profile as the United States markets will open on Tuesday after a stretched weekend. A volatility contraction in the asset is likely to get exploded ahead.

S&P500 futures have shown a marginal loss as investors have turned anxious amid after holiday mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has sensed barricades after testing Monday’s high at 102.20. The USD Index is putting efforts in sustaining above the critical support of 102.00. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yields have escalated further to near 3.54%, weighing on the risk-appetite theme.

Investors should brace for a power-pack action after the release of the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) data. A change in the prices of goods and services at factory gates is going to provide more cues about inflation projections. The street sees a decline in headline factory gate prices of goods and services (Dec) to 6.8% from the former release of 7.4%. Also, the core PPI might trim to 5.9% from the former release of 6.2% in a similar period.

The Euro is expected to hog the limelight as the European Central Bank (ECB) is aiming to achieve the interest rate peak by the Summer.

A poll from Bloomberg indicates that ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to push interest rates to 3.25%. The central bank will announce 50 basis points (bps) interest rate hike in February and March and a 25 bps rate hike in May that will support the ECB in achieving a terminal rate from the current rate of 2%.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0825
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.0821
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.067
Daily SMA501.0518
Daily SMA1001.0199
Daily SMA2001.031
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0874
Previous Daily Low1.0802
Previous Weekly High1.0868
Previous Weekly Low1.0639
Previous Monthly High1.0736
Previous Monthly Low1.0393
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0829
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0846
Daily Pivot Point S11.079
Daily Pivot Point S21.0759
Daily Pivot Point S31.0717
Daily Pivot Point R11.0863
Daily Pivot Point R21.0905
Daily Pivot Point R31.0935

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).