|

EUR/USD regained 1.0600, extending its gains due to a soft US Dollar

  • EUR/USD to finish the week above 1.0600 after hitting a weekly low of 1.0533.
  • A risk-on impulse and falling UST bond yields are a headwind for the US Dollar.
  • US ISM Non-Manufacturing data showed the US economy remains resilient.

EUR/USD reversed its course and is set to finish the week with gains of more than 0.80% on a softer US Dollar (USD) amidst speculations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would not hike rates beyond what money market futures expect. The EUR/USD exchanges hands at 1.0635 after hitting a daily low at 1.0588.

EUR/USD trimmed Wednesday’s losses as investors downplayed hawkish Fed commentary

US equities are set to finish the week with gains. The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the buck’s value vs. a basket of peers, slides from a two-and-a-half-month high down to 104.526 after US data reaffirmed a solid economic status in the United States (US).

Business activity in the US improved, as shown by the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for February was 55.1, a tick lower than the previous month’s 55.2, but exceeded expectations of 54.5, indicating that business activity is still strong. The prices index subcomponent, sought by investors for clues about inflation, jumped to 65.5, exceeding estimates of 64.5 but trailing Janiary’s data.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve officials crossed newswires, with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan did not comment on monetary policy. The Boston Fed President Susan Collins commented that inflation remains too high and added that

Aside from this, the Eurozone (EU) revealed S&P Global Services and Composite PMIs came above previous readings. Meanwhile, inflationary figures announced on Thursday came below last month’s data but above estimates, a reason for the ECB to continue to hike interest rates.

Even though figures were higher than expected, investors had already priced in a 50 bps rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB) as announced by its President Christine Lagarde in its last meeting presser. However, recent data have ECB policymakers split on what signal the bank should send to the markets.

EUR/USD Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0635
Today Daily Change0.0035
Today Daily Change %0.33
Today daily open1.06
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0671
Daily SMA501.0726
Daily SMA1001.0487
Daily SMA2001.0329
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0673
Previous Daily Low1.0577
Previous Weekly High1.0705
Previous Weekly Low1.0536
Previous Monthly High1.1033
Previous Monthly Low1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0613
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0636
Daily Pivot Point S11.056
Daily Pivot Point S21.052
Daily Pivot Point S31.0464
Daily Pivot Point R11.0657
Daily Pivot Point R21.0713
Daily Pivot Point R31.0753

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.