|

EUR/USD: Rebound remains capped below 1.1800 amid downbeat mood

  • EUR/USD is on the defensive as the DXY holds ground amid risk-aversion.
  • Macro-economic divergence continues to weigh on the common currency.
  • The spot to remain at the mercy of the USD dynamics amid a quiet start.

The recovery attempts in EUR/USD remain capped below 1.1800, as the traders remain on the defensive starting out a holiday-shortened US payrolls week.

The US dollar dynamics remain in play, weighing negatively on the major, in response to the prospects of a quicker economic recovery and higher vaccination rates in the US. In contrast, delays in vaccine rollouts and surging coronavirus cases in the Old Continent continue to cast a dark cloud on the region’s economic outlook.

Meanwhile, expectations of additional US infrastructure spending lend support to the greenback while the renewed American-Sino jitters also back the dollar’s safe-haven appeal.

Amid a relatively quiet start to the week, the traders will continue to watch out the US dollar trades for any meaningful impetus. The US Nonfarm Payrolls data is likely to emerge as the key event risk this Holy Friday-shortened week.

In the meantime, the US stimulus updates, Eurozone and German CPI reports will keep the markets entertained.

EUR/USD: Technical levels

“The pair is consolidating losses, with an immediate resistance near the 1.1850 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.1850 on the same chart. The trend line is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.1946 high to 1.1761 low. On the downside, the pair might find bids near 1.1760 and 1.1750. Any more losses could lead EUR/USD towards the 1.1680 support zone,” Aayush Jindal at TitanFX explains.

EUR/USD: Additional levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1784
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open1.1793
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1924
Daily SMA501.2034
Daily SMA1001.2057
Daily SMA2001.1869
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1805
Previous Daily Low1.1764
Previous Weekly High1.1947
Previous Weekly Low1.1762
Previous Monthly High1.2243
Previous Monthly Low1.1952
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1789
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.178
Daily Pivot Point S11.177
Daily Pivot Point S21.1746
Daily Pivot Point S31.1729
Daily Pivot Point R11.1811
Daily Pivot Point R21.1829
Daily Pivot Point R31.1852

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).