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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Drops below 1.09 as double top forms, threatening to negate a triple bottom

  • A triple bottom in the EUR/USD daily chart remains in play but at a brisk of being negated.
  • EUR/USD’s price action during the last couple of weeks created a double top, which could shift the pair’s bias.

The Euro (EUR) drops from around weekly highs of 1.0925 on a buoyant US Dollar (USD) and on buyers’ failure to crack the YTD high at 1.0929. Nevertheless, a triple bottom in the daily chart is intact, at the brisk of being negated. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD is trading at 1.0842.

EUR/USD Price action

Failure to hold prices above the 1.0900 figure has exposed the EUR/USD to further selling pressure. A triple bottom in the daily chart remains in play. But, the upward movement was capped at around March’s 23 high of 1.0929, ahead of testing 1.1000.

For a bullish resumption, EUR/USD buyers must reclaim 1.0900, followed by 1.0929. Break above will expose the 1.1000 figure, followed by the YTD high at 1.1032.

Another scenario has developed in the last couple of weeks. Albeit a “triple bottom” is in place, the formation of a double top emerged. Hence, if the EUR/USD continues to dive further and achieves a daily close below the March 24 swing low of 1.0713, it would pave the way to test 1.0500.

Backing up the latter scenario are oscillators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), although at bullish territory, its slope turned downwards, while the Rate of Change (RoC) shifted neutral.

EUR/USD Daily chart

EUR/USD Daily chart

EUR/USD Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.084
Today Daily Change-0.0065
Today Daily Change %-0.60
Today daily open1.0905
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0714
Daily SMA501.0732
Daily SMA1001.0646
Daily SMA2001.034
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0926
Previous Daily Low1.0824
Previous Weekly High1.093
Previous Weekly Low1.0631
Previous Monthly High1.1033
Previous Monthly Low1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0887
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0863
Daily Pivot Point S11.0844
Daily Pivot Point S21.0782
Daily Pivot Point S31.0741
Daily Pivot Point R11.0947
Daily Pivot Point R21.0988
Daily Pivot Point R31.105

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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