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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls seek validation from 1.0930 as key inflation data looms

  • EUR/USD seesaws around weekly high after rising the most in one-week the previous day.
  • Upbeat sentiment, softer yields supersede hawkish Fed talks to propel the Euro pair.
  • 10-week-old horizontal resistance area can challenge bulls are RSI turns overbought.
  • Sellers need 50-SMA breakdown to retake control; January’s top can lure bulls past 1.0930 hurdle.

EUR/USD depicts the market’s pre-inflation anxiety while making rounds to 1.0900, after refreshing a one-week high, during early Friday. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays another battle with the key horizontal resistance established on January 23.

Given the overbought RSI (14) and the Euro pair’s repeated failures to cross the 1.0930-35 horizontal resistance area, the pair buyers are likely to witness one more disappointment should the Eurozone inflation data ease and/or US Core PCE Price Index softens.

Also read: EUR/USD Forecast: Positive signs for the Euro ahead of more inflation data

In a case where the EUR/USD bulls ignore the RSI (14) conditions, backed by fundamental support, and cross the 1.0935 hurdle, the odds of witnessing a rally towards the yearly top marked in January near 1.1035 can’t be ruled out.

Meanwhile, a two-week-old ascending support line, close to 1.0850 at the latest, restricts the short-term EUR/USD downside.

Following that, the 50-SMA level surrounding 1.0820 and the mid-March high near 1.0750 can act as the last defenses of the EUR/USD buyers, a break of which could quickly drag the quote towards the monthly low of near 1.0515.

Overall, the EUR/USD pair remains on the bull’s radar unless breaking the 1.0750 level but the limited upside room highlights today’s inflation numbers as the key catalysts.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0906
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01%
Today daily open1.0905
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0714
Daily SMA501.0732
Daily SMA1001.0646
Daily SMA2001.034
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0926
Previous Daily Low1.0824
Previous Weekly High1.093
Previous Weekly Low1.0631
Previous Monthly High1.1033
Previous Monthly Low1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0887
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0863
Daily Pivot Point S11.0844
Daily Pivot Point S21.0782
Daily Pivot Point S31.0741
Daily Pivot Point R11.0947
Daily Pivot Point R21.0988
Daily Pivot Point R31.105

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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