EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bulls eye 50-DMA around 1.0100 inside falling wedge

EUR/USD extends Friday’s upside break of 21-DMA to print four-day uptrend.
Bullish MACD signals, RSI rebound favor short-term buyers inside bullish chart pattern.
50-DMA guards immediate upside, 1.0150 is the key hurdle.
Bears need validation from 0.9860 to retake control.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

EUR/USD renews intraday high near 1.0030 during the four-day uptrend to Monday’s Asian session. The major currency pair’s latest run-up could be linked to Friday’s successful upside break of the 21-DMA, as well as the price-positive signals from the MACD and RSI.

That said, the quote is well-set to aim for the 50-DMA resistance near 1.0100. However, the upper line of a falling wedge bullish chart pattern, established in late June, around 1.0150, appears a strong upside hurdle.

It’s worth noting that a successful break of 1.0150 will confirm the bullish chart pattern suggesting a theoretical target surrounding 1.0900. However, tops marked during August and May, respectively around 1.0370 and 1.0790, could act as intermediate halts during the rise.

The monthly high around 1.0200 and June’s peak of 1.0615 are some extra upside hurdles that could entertain the EUR/USD bulls.

Alternatively, a downside break of the 21-DMA, near 0.9990 at the latest, could quickly direct the sellers towards the recent swing low close to 0.9945.

However, multiple levels surrounding 0.9880 and the lower line of the stated wedge, close to 0.9860, could challenge the EUR/USD bears afterward.

If the quote remains bearish past 0.9860, the odds of witnessing a slump towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s late June to early September moves, near 0.9725 can’t be ruled out.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.0022
Today Daily Change	0.0005
Today Daily Change %	0.05%
Today daily open	1.0017

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.9987
Daily SMA50	1.0098
Daily SMA100	1.0318
Daily SMA200	1.0731

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0037
Previous Daily Low	0.9945
Previous Weekly High	1.0198
Previous Weekly Low	0.9945
Previous Monthly High	1.0369
Previous Monthly Low	0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0002
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.998
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.9963
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.9908
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.9871
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0054
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0091
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.0146

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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