|

EUR/USD maintains a subdued tone near 1.0920, awaits US Retail Sales on Thursday

  • EUR/USD maintains its position on market caution surrounding the Fed’s policy decision.
  • Euro could receive downward pressure from dovish remarks of ECB members.
  • The Upbeat CPI report diminished expectations of a near-term rate cut by the Fed.

EUR/USD floats near 1.0920 during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The pair encountered volatility on Tuesday, primarily driven by the release of February's inflation data from Germany and the United States (US). While German figures matched expectations, US inflation numbers exceeded expectations.

The German statistics office "Destatis" reported the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) with a year-over-year consistency at 2.7% in February, in line with expectations. The monthly index also remained unchanged at 0.6%.

ECB Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau stated that there is a consensus within the European Central Bank to commence lowering interest rates in the spring, given the progress in tackling inflation. Villeroy de Galhau emphasized the ECB's ability to independently adjust rates, highlighting the institution's pragmatism regarding rate policy.

Bank of France Governor, Robert Holzmann in an interview with news outlet MNI, said that the ECB is more likely to cut in June than April. But there will be a need to see projections confirmed amid high uncertainty. Pierre Wunsch, Governor of the National Bank of Belgium spoke at a a news conference that the European Central Bank will have to gamble soon with an interest rate cut even though wage inflation and price rises for services are uncomfortably high.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) maintains its position on recent gains, supported by improved US Treasury yields. The US Dollar received a boost from a stronger-than-expected CPI report, diminishing expectations of a near-term rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and strengthening the Greenback. This dynamic posed a challenge for the EUR/USD pair.

In February, US CPI (YoY) rose by 3.2%, surpassing estimates of 3.1%. The monthly index met expectations at 0.4%, higher than the 0.3% seen previously. US Core CPI rose by 3.8% year-over-year, above the anticipated 3.7% but below the previous 3.9% reading. The month-over-month figure remained steady at 0.4%, compared to the expected 0.3%. Traders are expected to redirect their attention to the upcoming US Core Producer Price Index (PPI) and Retail Sales data scheduled for release on Thursday.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0926
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open1.0927
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0843
Daily SMA501.0854
Daily SMA1001.0848
Daily SMA2001.0836
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0944
Previous Daily Low1.0902
Previous Weekly High1.0981
Previous Weekly Low1.0838
Previous Monthly High1.0898
Previous Monthly Low1.0695
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0928
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0918
Daily Pivot Point S11.0905
Daily Pivot Point S21.0883
Daily Pivot Point S31.0863
Daily Pivot Point R11.0946
Daily Pivot Point R21.0966
Daily Pivot Point R31.0988

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.