|

EUR/USD leaps to 2-day high near 1.0850 on US data

  • EUR/USD turns positive and clinches 2-day tops.
  • Poor US Retail Sales undermines the momentum in the dollar.
  • US Consumer Sentiment is next on tap on Friday.

EUR/USD has quickly broken above the previous consolidative theme and reached the area of 2-day highest in the 1.0845/50 band ono renewed selling pressure in the buck.

EUR/USD stronger post-US data

EUR/USD managed to reverse the initial pessimism and regained the upper hand after the selling pressure around the greenback gathered further traction in the wake of ugly data releases.

Indeed, US headline Retail Sales contracted markedly by 16.4%inter-month during April, while core sales also dropped by 17.2%, both prints exceeding previous expectations.

On the not-so-negative side, US Industrial Production contracted at a monthly 11.2% during the same period (vs. a forecasted 11.5% contraction), capacity Utilization shrunk less than estimated to 64.9% and the NY Empire State index bounced to -48.5 for the current month (from April’s -78.2).

Later in the docket, the preliminary print of the Consumer Sentiment for the current month will close the weekly calendar.

What to look for around EUR

EUR/USD is trying hardly to close the week in the positive territory and above the 1.0800 mark. Poor results in domestic fundamentals have been showing the initial effects of the coronavirus crisis in the region’s economy, although these were largely anticipated by market participants and thus mitigated somewhat the impact on the currency. In the meantime, the solid position of the euro area’s current account coupled with the gradual re-opening of the economy keep a deeper pullback in the pair somewhat contained for the time being.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.36% at 1.0843 and a break above 1.0896 (weekly high May 13) would target 1.0940 (55-day SMA) en route to 1.1019 (monthly high May 1). On the other hand, immediate contention emerges at 1.0774 (weekly low May 14) seconded by 1.0727 (monthly low Apr.24) and finally 1.0635 (2020 low Mar.23).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1800 on hawkish Fed Minutes, eyes on ECB succession

The EUR/USD pair tumbles to a near two-week low around 1.1785 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro on hawkish FOMC minutes that revived speculation about potential interest rate hikes if inflation remains elevated. 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold consolidates the rebound below $5,000, US data eyed

Gold price consolidates the previous rebound below $5,000 in the Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovered on Wednesday amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims,  Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday. 

Bitcoin approaches a critical zone: Bear pennant projects $56,000

Based on the most recent analyses from February 2026, the short answer is that it is highly unlikely that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this month.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.