|

EUR/USD: Five reasons to drag the pair down

Five factors are all playing against the EUR/USD pair, in the opinion of FXStreet’s analyst Yohay Elam.

Key quotes

“COVID-19 cases and deaths continue rising in the old continent, the epicenter of the disease. France and Spain both announced record numbers of mortalities on Wednesday.”

“The eurozone remains split between the camp demanding to mutualize the debt and show solidarity, and the one opposing it, led by Germany. The potential political crisis is weighing on the common currency.”

“After skyrocketing to 3.283 million in the week ending on March 14,  jobless claims Thursday’s report for the week that ended on March 21 could be even higher. Goldman Sachs foresees 5.25 million claims. Devastating figures could be positive for the safe-haven US dollar.”

“Republicans are not enthusiastic about President Donald Trump’s calls for infrastructure spending. If they change their mind, the dollar could fall but until then, the market mood could stay downbeat.”

“Bloomberg reported that US intelligence agencies suspect that Chinese confirmed cases and deaths are far higher. The news implies a worse trajectory and protracted economic suffering, weighing on sentiment and benefiting the US dollar.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).