|

EUR/USD faces a challenge around 1.0550 ahead of US NFP data

  • EUR/USD experiences downward pressure ahead of US data.
  • ECB is expected to maintain its current interest rates; weighing on the Euro.
  • Fed's assertion on monetary policy is contributing to the strength in US Bond yields.

EUR/USD moves lower after two-day gains, trading slightly lower around 1.0540 during the Asian session on Friday. However, the pair found support on the upside, a trend that could be linked to the correction in the US Dollar (USD) following a decrease in US Bond yields.

Germany's trade surplus for August decreased to €16.6 billion from €17.7 billion in July, surpassing the market's anticipated figure of €15.0 billion.

European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to maintain its current interest rates at 4.50% in the upcoming meeting later this month. Insights from ECB Governing Council member Mario Centeno on Wednesday suggested that inflation in the Euro area is declining more rapidly than its previous ascent. This observation hints at the possibility that the rate cycle may have reached its conclusion under the current conditions.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rebounds and trades higher around 106.50 as of now. The Greenback’s correction comes after reaching an 11-month high earlier this week.

US Treasury yields hold steady, maintaining their positions near multi-year highs. Market participants are exercising caution due to the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish stance on the trajectory of interest rates. The 10-year US Treasury yield remains above 4.70%, close to its highest level since 2007.

US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending September 29 saw an increase to 207K from the previous reading of 205K. Surprisingly, this surpassed the market expectation of 210K.

US Challenger Job Cuts have significantly decreased from 75.151K to 47.457K in September. Market participants watch for the upcoming release of US Nonfarm Payrolls and Average Hourly Earnings on Friday. These figures will serve as a confirmation of the tight labor market, and upbeat numbers could potentially trigger a rise in the USD and elevate volatility in the bond market.

EUR/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0535
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open1.0546
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0619
Daily SMA501.0779
Daily SMA1001.0845
Daily SMA2001.0826
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0552
Previous Daily Low1.05
Previous Weekly High1.0656
Previous Weekly Low1.0488
Previous Monthly High1.0882
Previous Monthly Low1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0532
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.052
Daily Pivot Point S11.0513
Daily Pivot Point S21.0481
Daily Pivot Point S31.0461
Daily Pivot Point R11.0565
Daily Pivot Point R21.0584
Daily Pivot Point R31.0617

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies near 1.1750 ahead of final Eurozone CPI amid fading USD recovery

The EUR/USD pair steadies around the 1.1750 area during the Asian session on Wednesday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day's sharp retracement slide from the highest level since September 24. Meanwhile, the fundamental backdrop remains tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices remains to the upside.

GBP/USD gains ground above 1.3400 on UK PMI optimism

The GBP/USD pair gains momentum to around 1.3425 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling edges higher against the Greenback on the upbeat UK preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index data. Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Wednesday. 

Gold advances to near seven-week highs amid US labor market cooling

Gold price extends its upside to near seven-week highs above $4,300 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the US labor market remains relatively resilient but shows signs of slowing. The mixed US employment report for November reinforces bets of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and weighs on the US Dollar.

XRP dips as bearish pressure persists despite ETF growth

Ripple is finding footing above $1.90 at the time of writing on Tuesday after a bearish wave swept across the broader cryptocurrency market, building on persistent negative sentiment.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.