|

EUR/USD drops to lows near 1.0780 on ECB’s Villeroy, weak EZ data

Having tested multi-week highs at 1.0819 in early Europe, the EUR/USD pair is on a retreat, now accelerating the downside to hit fresh daily lows near 1.0780, in response to worse-than expected Eurozone current account data, which came in at EUR 24.1bln in Jan versus previously revised EUR 30.8bln and EUR 29.3bln expected.

The latest leg down in the spot is also driven by dovish comments from ECB governing council member Villeroy, noting that accommodative policy is still needed. Also, resurgence of broad USD demand also added to the downside bias in EUR/USD.

Despite, fresh selling seen in the major, the losses appear limited amid negative treasury yields and widespread risk-aversion, which keeps the sentiment around the funding currency EUR buoyed somewhat.

With the Eurozone data out of the way, next of note for the pair remains the US existing home sales data due later in the NA session. Meanwhile, the major will take cues from the broader market sentiment.

EUR/USD Technical Levels   

Slobodan Drvenica at Windsor Brokers Ltd explains, “Strong bullish sentiment is in play and favor final push towards initial target at 1.0827 (02 Feb high/Fibo 38.2% of larger 1.1614/1.0339, May 2016/Jan 2017 descend). Break of the latter is expected to trigger fresh acceleration towards next target at 1.0886 (falling 200SMA).”

“Tuesday's long bullish candle and multiple bull-crosses of daily MA's continue to underpin near-term action, however, overbought slow stochastic warns of extended consolidation before bulls resume. Rising 5SMA marks immediate support at 1.0769, ahead of higher base/10SMA at 1.0720/10 zone, which should ideally contain downticks,” Slobodan added.

    1. R3 1.0948
    2. R2 1.0884
    3. R1 1.0847
  1. PP 1.0783
    1. S1 1.0746
    2. S2 1.0682
    3. S3 1.0645

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains above 1.1700 as ECB signals pause

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1710 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro strengthens against the Greenback after the European Central Bank left its policy rates unchanged and took a more positive view on the Eurozone economy, which has shown resilience to global trade shocks. Financial markets are likely to remain subdued as traders book profits ahead of the long holiday period.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold refreshes record highs, eyes $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical tensions

Gold is closing in on $4,400 early Monday, renewing lifetime highs, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Week ahead: Key risks to watch in last days of 2025 and early 2026

The festive period officially starts next week, with many traders vacating their desks until the first full week of January, making way for thin trading volumes and very few top-tier releases.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.