|

EUR/USD bounces off 1.0900 mark, keeps the red amid modest USD strength

  • EUR/USD drifts lower for the second straight day on Wednesday amid renewed USD buying.
  • The better-than-expected German Industrial Production data helps limit any further losses.
  • A combination of factors caps the upside for the USD and warrants caution for bearish traders.

The EUR/USD pair remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day on Wednesday, albeit manages to hold its neck above the 1.0900 mark through the early European session. The downtick is sponsored by the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) buying, though the fundamental backdrop warrants caution before positioning for an extension of this week's pullback from the 1.1000 psychological mark, or a seven-month peak.

The US Treasury bond yields build on the overnight advance, which was their biggest rise since early June, and assist the USD to recover further from its lowest level since January touched on Monday. Adding to this, the European Central Bank's (ECB) downbeat view of the Eurozone's economic prospects continues to undermine the shared currency and exert some downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. That said, the upbeat German macro data offers some support to spot prices and helps limit any further losses. 

The latest data published by Destatis showed Germany’s industrial sector returned to expansion in June and the output in the Eurozone’s top economy increased by 1.4% MoM as against an expected increase of 1.0% and a 2.5% drop registered in May. Furthermore, a positive risk tone around the global equity markets, along with dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, caps the upside for the safe-haven buck. This, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the EUR/USD pair and warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders.

In the absence of any relevant market-moving economic data, the aforementioned fundamental backdrop makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before confirming that spot prices have topped out in the near term. From a technical perspective, a sustained break and acceptance below the 1.0900 mark could be seen as a key trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for some meaningful downside for the EUR/USD pair. Bulls, meanwhile, might wait for a move beyond mid-1.0900s before placing fresh bets.

Economic Indicator

Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)

The Industrial Production released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland measures outputs of the German factories and mines. Changes in industrial production are widely followed as a major indicator of strength in the manufacturing sector. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the EUR, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Read more.

Last release: Wed Aug 07, 2024 06:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 1.4%

Consensus: 1%

Previous: -2.5%

Source: Federal Statistics Office of Germany

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.