EUR/USD: A bottom looks closer – UOB

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

FX Strategists remain bearish on EUR/USD, although they believe that a bottom could be in the making.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We expected EUR to ‘weaken further’ last Friday but were of the view ‘oversold conditions could limit any decline to a probe of the major 1.0810 support’. While EUR weaken as expected, it only touched a low of 1.0826. Downward momentum has waned and the downside risk appears to be limited for today. All in, EUR is expected to consolidate and trade sideways, likely between 1.0820 and 1.0860.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “EUR eked out a fresh ‘lower low’ of 1.0826 last Friday before closing at 1.0830 (-0.09%). While the weak phase that started more than a week ago is still intact, the combination of waning momentum and oversold conditions suggest that a bottom may not be far away. As highlighted early last Friday (14 Feb, spot at 1.0840), while a dip below 1.0810 (we first indicated this level last Monday) would not be surprising, the next support at 1.0770 could be out of reach. On the upside, a move above 1.0890 (‘strong resistance’ was at 1.0910 last Friday) would indicate the current weakness in EUR has run its course.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs on US CPI

EUR/USD now accelerates it rebound and flirts with the 1.1880 zone on Friday, or daily highs, all in response to renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar. In the meantime, US inflation figures showed the headline CPI rose less than expected in January, removing some tailwinds from the Greenback’s momentum.

GBP/USD clings to gains above 1.3600

GBP/USD reverses three consecutive daily pullbacks on Friday, hovering around the low-1.3600s on the back of the vacillating performance of the Greenback in the wake of the release of US CPI prints in January. Earlier in the day, the BoE’s Pill suggested that UK inflation could settle around 2.5%, above the bank’s goal.

Gold: Upside remains capped by $5,000

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked retracement, as bargain-hunters seem to have stepped in. The precious metal’s upside, however, appears limited amid the slightly better tone in the US Dollar after US inflation data saw the CPI rise less than estimated at the beginning of the year.